Sorry I haven't posted these yet, but it has been a crazy busy week for me. Let me start out by saying that this past weekend was the second of three consecutive Sundays that I have had to work, meaning I have only seen the Sunday and Monday night games over that span of time, so my analysis shouldn’t be as in depth as it can (and will) be later in the season. Sorry to not give a write-up for each team, but I didn't have the time to get them all done. Much like last week, it was very difficult to rank the teams in the middle of the pack, and those in the 12-20 spots can be moved up and down without much protest from me. I try to do these things so that both full season performance and recent outings are taken into consideration, but sometimes I feel as though one of those two factors is more indicative than the other, which is why you see some drastic movement this week. Like always, team record is in parentheses and last week’s ranking is bracketed. Onto the rankings:
32. St. Louis Rams (0-7) [32]
Note to the Rams: A 42-6 drubbing at the hands of the Indianapolis Colts isn’t your ticket out of the #32 spot. Aside from poor Steven Jackson, this team honestly does not belong on an NFL field. I’ve mentioned it a few times, but there are really only two seemingly winnable games on this schedule, the first of which comes at Detroit this week (the other is a matchup at Tennessee in Week 14). If they miss out there, it’ll be a very likely road that ends in an 0-16 season.
31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-7) [31]
Congratulations Buccaneers, you are now winless on two continents! On the bright side, Tampa Bay fans got their first glimpse of first-round draft pick Josh Freeman. He wasn’t out there long, going 2/4 for 16 yards and rushing once for five yards, but Derek Anderson led the Browns to a victory earlier this season going 2/17 for 23 yards and an interception, so maybe there is hope. If St. Louis only has two seemingly winnable games left, then Tampa Bay only has one, and it’s against a team it lost to earlier this season, Carolina. This is another team who can’t stop anybody on defense, which is a massive problem when your offense isn’t any good either.
30. Tennessee Titans (0-6) [30]
I didn’t move any of the six teams on a bye this past week in my rankings, which is good news for Tennessee, because they couldn’t give me any more reasons to drop them further (not that there’s a whole lot further to go). The week didn’t pass without some news from Tennessee, as owner Bud Adams expressed his thoughts on who should be the starting quarterback, and head coach Jeff Fisher donned a Peyton Manning jersey at a charity event, which didn’t go over so well with his players. Not only do I think this is the best winless team, but I also think they can win 3-5 games in the second half of the season, but let’s not kid each other, they’ll be choosing in the Top 10 in April’s draft.
29. Cleveland Browns (1-6) [28]
To be fair, Cleveland’s six losses all come against teams ranked inside my Top 9. However, aside from the game against Cincinnati, where the Bengals were due for a letdown after a huge emotional win over the Steelers, Cleveland hasn’t been too competitive in those losses. They continue to get killed by the opposition’s ground attack, and the quarterback problem continues to grow each week. As I said last week, Josh Cribbs ought to take every single snap, since Brady Quinn and Derek Anderson just aren’t NFL starters right now. Potential wins loom with the Lions, Chiefs, and Raiders on the schedule, but so do rematches with the Bengals, Ravens, and Steelers, which can probably already be penciled in as losses.
28. Oakland Raiders (2-5) [27]
This was the reaction of one of the guys I play fantasy football with who is a Bay Area native, “YES! THE RAIDERS ARE FINALLY BENCHING JAMARCUS RUSSELL!” That doesn’t bode very well for your franchise, especially when the guy backing up Russell is Toldeo’s own Bruce Gradkowski, who doesn’t protect the ball very well either. I couldn’t find a clip of it, but JaMarcus Russell’s post-game interview only reaffirmed my belief that there is something worse than his performance on the football field, and that is his command of the English language. This should give you an idea of what him talking about “not everything being on him” sounded like. One more thing about Russell. This is his third year in the league, and he’s still so incredibly immature that it astounds me. Don’t use the media to call out your teammates, do that behind closed doors with the team itself. Take a lesson from a guy in his first year in the league and fifteen months your junior, Mark Sanchez, who took sole responsibility for the team’s loss to Buffalo. You have a lot of growing up to do if you want to be successful in this league. I think this stat is the most telling about the Raiders franchise as a whole over the past few drafts: 2009 receptions and games played: Darrius Heyward-Bey (4-7) and Michael Crabtree (5-1). Once again, it looks like Al Davis took the wrong guy.
27. Kansas City Chiefs (1-6) [25]
Last week against the Chargers was a recipe for disaster. Kansas City was coming off what could be its only win all season, and San Diego was pissed after probably losing the division in Week 6 at home. That translates to Matt Cassel throwing for a whopping 97 yards and the Chiefs never really being competitive in falling to 0-4 at home on the season. So much for that supposed home field advantage Arrowhead provides. The other interesting note from this week was Larry Johnson taking out his frustrations about his own crappiness on Todd Haley. He slammed Haley, saying that his father had better credentials, including playing for the coach from “Remember the Titans.” A word of advice Larry, your 2.7 YPC leads me to believe that most NFL running backs, both past and present, have better NFL credentials than you do. Shut up, stop using gay slurs to criticize people, especially when your criticisms aren’t spurred on by someone else’s sexual orientation. Enjoy the suspension the NFL or the Chiefs will be slapping on you, and then riding the pine while Jamaal Charles actually rushes for 3+ yards per carry.
26. Washington Redskins (2-5) [29]
Believe me, they didn’t move up because of their offense, which has yet to eclipse the 17-point mark this season, despite playing against teams who are a combined 4-29 in Weeks 2-6. The defense looked very good last night, despite surrendering two big plays to Desean Jackson. The first was a bit fluky, while the second was a great route combined with poor judgment. I expect those to be shored up during the bye week. The big question is whether or not the offense can ever get on track. Sherman Lewis didn’t drop any jaws with his play calling in his first game. There were a lot of Clinton Portis runs that amounted to nothing. The ineptitude of this offense was highlighted by a fourth quarter shotgun snap on 4th down that center Casey Rabach hut himself in the ass with, resulting in a fumble that the Eagles recovered…ouch. Lastly, the Redskins lost their best offensive weapon, Chris Cooley, to a season-ending ankle injury on the first play of the second quarter. I’m no psychic, but when an offense averaging less than 14 points per game loses its best offensive player, I’m going to predict that that team will suck even worse than it did before.
25. Carolina Panthers (2-4) [23]
I proclaimed that it would be embarrassing when this team got to .500 after a win over Buffalo. Apparently I spoke too soon, or I forgot that Jake Delhomme was the Panthers’ quarterback. He has gotten so bad that John Fox didn’t publicly back him after this week’s performance, which could mean a new man under center next week. The only thing going for Carolina is its running back tandem of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart.
24. Detroit Lions (1-5) [24]
Not much to speak of here. If their skill guys have gotten healthy over the bye week (that’s Matthew Stafford, Kevin Smith, and Calvin Johnson), they could play a role in crowning the NFC North champion, as they could trip up the Vikings, Bears, or Packers in a shootout. Nonetheless, they should be a force in the coming years.
23. Buffalo Bills (3-4) [26]
It’s amazing how this team was coming off of an embarrassing home loss to Cleveland and staring at a 1-4 record just two weeks ago. Fast forward to the present and they’re suddenly 3-4 after surprise road wins at the Jets and Panthers. I’m still not a believer in the team, but, all of a sudden, 8-8 is a distinct possibility. I still think Fred Jackson needs to be used more, and I don’t believe that Ryan Fitzpatrick is the answer at quarterback (not that Trent Edwards is either), but they have certainly surprised me as of late.
22. Jacksonville Jaguars (3-3) [22]
This still, to me, is the toughest team to figure out in the NFL. I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see them lose by twenty to the winless Titans when both teams come out of their bye weeks on Sunday. I also wouldn’t be surprised to see them hang fifty on the Titans pitiful defense. Maurice Jones-Drew is one of the best players in the NFL and is going to be a force to be reckoned with for opposing defenses the rest of the way.
21. Seattle Seahawks (2-4) [21]
20. San Francisco 49ers (3-3) [14]
19. Chicago Bears (3-3) [10]
18. Miami Dolphins (2-4) [15]
17. Houston Texans (4-3) [19]
16. San Diego Chargers (3-3) [20]
15. New York Jets (4-3) [17]
14. Atlanta Falcons (4-2) [7]
13. Dallas Cowboys (4-2) [16]
12. Arizona Cardinals (4-2) [18]
11. Philadelphia Eagles (4-2) [13]
10. New York Giants (5-2) [6]
9. Green Bay Packers (4-2) [11]
8. Baltimore Ravens (3-3) [8]
7. Cincinnati Bengals (5-2) [12]
6. Minnesota Vikings (6-1) [4]
5. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) [9]
4. New England Patriots (5-2) [5]
3. Denver Broncos (6-0) [3]
2. New Orleans Saints (6-0) [1]
1. Indianapolis Colts (6-0) [2]
Friday, October 30, 2009
Thursday, October 22, 2009
NFL Power Rankings: Week 7
In the Week 7 installments of the Power Rankings, we’re going to actually see some movement. For just about the first time all season, there were some actual upsets, as well as some key injuries, which led to some crazy shifts. Each team’s record is in parentheses, and last week’s ranking is bracketed. Without further ado, I present the Week 7 NFL Power Rankings:
32. St. Louis Rams (0-6) [32]
The Rams showed some promise last week. While Jacksonville isn’t very good outside of Maurice Jones-Drew and Mike Sims-Walker, St. Louis had a lead late in the game before succumbing in overtime. The problem is that, aside from Detroit in Week 8 (and maybe Tennessee in Week 14), there isn’t a seemingly winnable game on the schedule. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this team go 0-16 just one year after the Lions became the first to have that dubious honor.
31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-6) [31]
The good news for the Buccaneers was that they didn’t get shredded through the air last week (only 55 yards allowed). The bad news was that they played Jake Delhomme, who sucks, and the Panthers ran the ball 48 times for 267 yards. Much like St. Louis, Tampa Bay played hard and was competitive, but next week might be a bloodbath. The only team with a worse secondary than Tennessee is Tampa Bay, and Tom Brady just threw for about 1000 yards and thirty touchdowns in the first half against Tennessee last weekend. Couple the fact that this game is in London, despite being a home game for the Bucs, and we are going to have an ugly game on our hands. If you are a bettor, take the Pats to cover, even if the spread hits twenty points.
30. Tennessee Titans (0-6) [26]
The fact that a team who just got taken out back to the woodshed and is winless isn’t the worst team in the NFL speaks volumes about how bad the Rams and Buccaneers are. This team is getting shredded by opponents’ passing games (over 325 yards per game), with no help in sight. Cortland Finnegan just got hurt, downgrading the secondary from laughable to downright awful. It is truly remarkable to think that this team was the best in the league last year. Keep your heads up though Titans’ fans, the Vince Young era might start up again after its hiatus!
29. Washington Redskins (2-4) [25]
If they were the worst 2-3 team in the history of the NFL last week, they are certainly the worst 2-4 team ever. If you take out the Giants, the Redskins’ opponents have a combined record of 4-25. Three of those wins came against Washington, while Carolina also beat the lowly Buccaneers. Speaking of the Tampa Bay, they are one of two teams to fall victim to the mighty Redskins this season (the Rams are the other). The combined margin of victory from those two wins? Five points. Also, your players are asking for votes of confidence from management regarding the coach, who just lost his play-calling duties to a guy whose most recent employment was calling bingo at a retirement home. Since Tennessee can’t lose next week because it’s on a bye, expect Washington to fall again after they lose to Philadelphia on national television.
Interesting Note: Does anyone else besides me find it ironic that the last four teams in my power rankings are also last in an alphabetical list of NFL teams?
28. Cleveland Browns (1-5) [27]
Is it safe to say that Cleveland’s best quarterback option is Josh Cribbs? Sure he threw an interception last week, but so do Brady Quinn and Derek Anderson, right? Why hasn’t Cleveland just lined Cribbs up thirty yards behind center and snapped it to him like a punt return? Their best offensive play is a Cribbs kick return. Also, Mangini has listed twenty-three players on this week’s injury report, which is most likely a record. On a side note, if you’re interested in real estate in the Cleveland area, I hear that Brady Quinn’s house is on the market, perhaps because he couldn’t afford it due to not playing?
27. Oakland Raiders (2-4) [30]
The first real WTF of the season. How in the hell does a team that would have been #32 in the rankings aside from an ugly win (until we saw Cleveland’s riveting 6-3 win over Buffalo) over Kansas beat my #5 team? I have no idea. I still don’t think that the Raiders are any good, especially JaMarcus Russell. Even though he was 17/28 last week for 224 yards, over one-third of those yards came on a twenty yard pass he completed to Zach Miller, who, in turn, took it eighty-six yards to the hizzy (props to Louis Murphy for throwing a block on three different Eagles on the play). They have a shot at three more wins (Kansas City, Washington, @Cleveland), but I think that’s the ceiling. Speaking of which, has anybody heard anything from Darrius Heyward-Bey? Michael Crabtree hasn’t even set foot on the field yet and he’s been in the news constantly.
26. Buffalo Bills (2-4) [28]
Yeah, that was painful to watch as a Jets fan. I don’t think the Bills are any good, I just think that they were less bad than the Jets on Sunday. Aided by five Mark Sanchez (and one Steven Weatherford) interceptions, the Bills were able to squeak out a win in the Meadowlands. With Trent Edwards likely out for at least a week with a concussion, they’ll rely heavily on the running back tandem of Marshawn Lynch and Fred Jackson, who should be getting a ton more work than he is. They certainly have winnable games in the future, but the anemic pass offense needs to get going, which I don’t think it will.
25. Kansas City Chiefs (1-5) [29]
Finally the Chiefs leave behind their winless brothers at the bottom of the rankings, and all it took was a visit from Washington. The Titans should be bummed that they don’t get a shot at the Redskins this season, because they’d have a legitimate shot at winning. Anyway, Matt Cassel has done some nice things with this offense, and Dwayne Bowe looks as dominant as he has in the past. While I don’t see Kansas City winning many games this season, they can take pride in the fact that they’re at least playing hard each week. I am also anxiously awaiting Todd Haley benching Larry Johnson for Jamaal Charles so that my late round flier on Charles in fantasy drafts becomes validated.
24. Detroit Lions (1-5) [24]
The three cogs of their offense, Matthew Stafford, Kevin Smith, and Calvin Johnson, are all banged up. The bye week is certainly coming at the right time, as they were simply overmatched by an above average Packers offense and a very stout defense last week. Another team that I think has limited win potential, but will only get better and probably be dangerous in the future.
23. Carolina Panthers (2-3) [23]
Beating hapless Tampa Bay on a last minute touchdown doesn’t impress me in the least. You, Carolina, are not a good team. Like I said last week, they’ll get to 3-3 after beating Buffalo this week, but then go on a losing streak of at least four, and most likely five. The one positive note for the Panthers is that DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart looked great, meaning that Jake Delhomme didn’t have to do much. I also don’t generally praise teams whose best offensive weapons publicly state that they are no longer an asset to the offense.
22. Jacksonville Jaguars (3-3) [21]
This team is an enigma. They played Indianapolis to a two-point game in Week 1, but got crushed by Seattle before barely beating St. Louis last week. Maurice Jones-Drew is definitely the guy there, and got rewarded for the rant he went on that I discussed last week. I could see them going anywhere from 5-11 to 10-6 and I wouldn’t be surprised. Mike Sims-Walker has been great so far (excluding his suspension for going out before the Seattle game), and helps the offense click better. Only time will tell with this team.
21. Seattle Seahawks (2-4) [19]
Matt Hasselbeck claimed that whenever his mom was in attendance at Seahawks home games, they were undefeated. The number was somewhere in the teens I think, which should have gotten it one of those sections on SportsCenter where they talk about the best streaks of all time. On July 17, 1941, Joe DiMaggio’s 56-game hitting streak came to an end against the Cleveland Indians. That makes the Arizona Cardinals the Cleveland Indians of the NFL, as, on October 18, 2009, they ended Mama Hasselbeck’s streak. It’ll be tough for Seattle to make noise in the NFC West since it already trails San Francisco and theCleveland Indians Arizona Cardinals by a game and a half, with a head to head loss to each, but the bye week should help them regroup. I’m not ready to write them off yet, so we’ll see about them in a few weeks.
20. San Diego Chargers (2-3) [18]
I posted these rankings on a message board on ESPN and was scoffed at by a diehard Chargers fan saying that they were too low. After seeing them lose the Monday night game (and, most likely, the AFC West), to Denver I can say that I disagree. The defense isn’t very good. In five games, it has only seven sacks and four interceptions, and doesn’t show any promise of getting better any time soon. LaDainian Tomlinson showed some burst for the first time all season, but I want to see him sustain it for a few weeks before I say he’s back. Philip Rivers doesn’t have enough time to throw, as the Broncos proved to us. He fumbled three times, including on the final drive because the line couldn’t block A Gap blitzes, which get to the quarterback the quickest. They’ve got two games against Kansas City and another with Oakland upcoming, so they can prove me wrong by dominating those outings.
19. Houston Texans (3-3) [22]
This is the only AFC South team without a loss to the Colts, who they play twice in the next six weeks. Sorry Houston, but I don’t see you beating Indy in either matchup. They are definitely a wild card candidate, but they’ll have to do some damage before tough season ending games at Miami and versus New England. Steve Slaton appears to be coming around, Matt Schaub is proving that he’s a top quarterback in this league when healthy, and Andre Johnson is still a man among boys.
18. Arizona Cardinals (3-2) [20]
I still think Arizona’s Achilles heel will be its inability to run the ball. With Kurt Warner slinging it again and Larry Fitzgerald dominating, they have no problem scoring. A healthy Anquan Boldin would make this team a much bigger threat, so I’ll keep an eye on his ailings. The defense has been surprisingly good, as it’s #1 against the run, and somewhat serviceable against the pass. Like I said earlier, the biggest problem lies in the fact that the team cannot run the ball to work the clock when it has a lead. If they don’t figure that out, I don’t think they will make too much noise.
17. New York Jets (3-3) [9]
Ouch. Tied for the biggest drop of the week, the Jets lost more than just the game on Sunday. Who I thought to be the most irreplaceable player on the team, Kris Jenkins, is now done for the season after tearing his ACL on a standard NFL play. I honestly believe that the Jets would have at least tied that game with Jenkins playing, despite Mark Sanchez’s debacle. The Bills were getting five or six yards per carry after he went out, which is a trend I fear might continue as the season progresses. Luckily they get the Raiders this week, which should allow them to get back above .500 before another tough test with Miami. As a fan I am happy that Mark Sanchez is being accountable for his horrific play, and I continue to think that he will be a successful NFL quarterback in the future.
16. Dallas Cowboys (3-2) [17]
Teams 10-19 are all question marks to me, and I did the best to rank them as I could. Dallas, on paper, should be great. They’ve got three very good running backs, a seemingly talented quarterback, and a great tight end. Nobody seems to know what Roy Williams is as a player, but the general consensus is that he sucks. Too bad Jerry Jones overpaid for him and is essentially going to force him to be a part of the offense. Also, what happened to Demarcus Ware? He had twenty sacks last season, but only two so far this year. The defense needs to get going in order for this team to go anywhere this year.
15. Miami Dolphins (2-3) [16]
To me, this is the most dangerous team lurking in this middle pack. Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams run the Wildcat flawlessly, and it’s damn near impossible to stop when those guys are reading defenses properly. Chad Henne is good. Period. He started four years at Michigan, and didn’t seem fazed in the least by the Jets’ blitzes two weeks ago. As long as the defense is able to stop opposing offenses so that the offense doesn’t have to hang thirty every week, they will win a bunch of ballgames. I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see them beat New Orleans this weekend and continue their march to a wild card berth.
14. San Francisco 49ers (3-2) [14]
The bye week came at a great time to the 49ers. After a heartbreaking loss to Minnesota, a bounceback game against the Rams, and a shellacking at the hands of Atlanta, San Francisco got a chance to regroup, get Frank Gore healthy, and get Michael Crabtree acclimated to the offense. I love hearing that Josh Morgan, who lost his starting spot to Crabtree, was still helping Crabtree learn the offense anyway. Those are the kind of team-first, character guys you build a squad around. I hope good things come for him in the future. If the offense gets going, Patrick Willis and the defense will take care of the rest and this team could easily roll to an NFC West crown.
13. Philadelphia Eagles (3-2) [5]
Bye bye Eliminator Challenge. A last-minute change of my pick from the Steelers to the Eagles was the wrong move, as the Eagles thought they were playing in Philadelphia last Sunday and didn’t show up to play in Oakland, so a combination of fifty-three men and women wearing Eagles jerseys who showed up for the game had a massive tailgate and then played the game against the Raiders, falling just short in a valiant effort, 13-9. Wait, that didn’t happen? Well, it sounds more plausible than what took place, at the very least. I still think Philadelphia is a good team and will be in the playoffs, but a loss to Oakland is inexcusable.
12. Cincinnati Bengals (4-2) [7]
The defense was the latest victim of Matt Schaub’s march through opposing secondaries, as they surrendered just under 400 yards to the Texans through the air. Cedric Benson cooled off a bit last week, only rushing for forty-four yards on sixteen carries. The loss of Antwan Odom for the year will be huge, so we’ll see how they replace him on the defensive line. After a tough game at home against Chicago and a bye, Cincinnati will show us what it’s made of with back-to-back games against Baltimore and at Pittsburgh.
11. Green Bay Packers (3-2) [15]
How good is Aaron Rodgers? He doesn’t have an offensive line and is still completing 65% of his passes for nearly 300 yards per game, with a 4:1 TD-to-interception ratio. Oh, if that wasn’t good enough, he also has a rushing touchdown. And he saves kids from burning buildings. To complement Rodgers, Ryan Grant has been consistent, albeit not great, and the defense is fresh off of a shutout, even if it was against a depleted Detroit Lions team. Still, tough divisional foes in Chicago and Minnesota make the road to the playoffs that much tougher.
10. Chicago Bears (3-2) [12]
I know that the Packers beat the Bears head-to-head and they have identical 3-2 records, yet I have Chicago ranked ahead of Green Bay. If, in your mind, that’s wrong, then switch them and mentally put Green Bay at ten and Chicago at eleven. I think Chicago has the more impressive win (over Pittsburgh), and that Jay Cutler has been infinitely better since his debacle in Week 1. The big question mark here is Matt Forte. Where is the guy we saw last year? Have opposing defenses learned how to stop him? Is he not as good as we thought? I have questions, but only Matt Forte and the Bears have answers. Much like Houston and Indianapolis, I also like the fact that Chicago still gets two cracks at Minnesota, in which they can get even in the loss column and take a head-to-head advantage.
9. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2) [13]
They are starting to resemble the team we thought they’d be. Mike Tomlin has wisely named Rashard Mendenhall his starter, which I think will benefit them in the long run. Ben Roethlisberger is slinging the ball all over the field, yet is completing 72.5% of his passes. Hines Ward is smiling, while on pace to catch over 100 balls, and the defense is still pretty solid, especially now that Hair Polamalu is back. Four out of the next five are very tough (Minnesota, BYE, @Denver on MNF, Cincinnati, @Kansas City, @Baltimore on Sunday night). If they get three or four of them, they will have come out of the schedule very well.
8. Baltimore Ravens (3-3) [11]
Steven F-ing Hauscka is what the Ravens fans are probably saying to themselves (and each other) right now. A 44-yard field goal in a dome isn’t terribly difficult for a kicker, and I know that he was under pressure and the Metrodome is loud, but kickers are expected to make those kicks, and Hauschka will be the first one to tell you that. Anyway, despite three consecutive losses (to teams with a combined 14-4 record), I still think this is a playoff team. Ray Rice has emerged as an elite back in the NFL, Joe Flacco is amazing, and the defense, while not what it once was, can still make enough plays to win games.
7. Atlanta Falcons (4-1) [8]
This is the one team that has a remote chance of challenging New Orleans in the NFC South. Matt Ryan is amazing, Roddy White confirmed that he is, in fact, out of his coma, Tony Gonzalez is a beast, and Michael Turner is running like he did last year again. I definitely think they’re a playoff bound team again, and am anxious to see how they perform on the road against Dallas this week before next week’s showdown with the Saints in the Superdome.
6. New York Giants (5-1) [2]
The drop wasn’t because I think they’re the sixth best team, but more due to the fact that New Orleans took it to them last week. Drew Brees threw for 369 yards and four touchdowns. Seven different Saints scored a touchdown, showing that the Giants can be beaten in a variety of ways. The nail in the coffin was Reggie Bush’s touchdown before halftime that made it a seventeen-point game again. I still don’t think that the team is in trouble as far as winning the NFC East or making the playoffs, but that showing was one they’ll want to forget.
5. New England Patriots (4-2) [10]
Say hello to your 2009 AFC East champions. I know that it was Tennessee who currently can’t stop the Little Giants’ connection of Junior to Hot Hands, but a fifty-nine-point victory over any NFL team is damn impressive. Tom Brady wasn’t overthrowing receivers, and Wes Welker was, for the first time, not on the injury report. They are going to continue to roll and piss me off, and I cannot even imagine what’s going to happen next time they play the Jets. I hate the Patriots…a lot.
4. Minnesota Vikings (6-0) [4]
I know they just beat my #8 team, but this is a team that could easily be 4-2. I understand that they made a play to beat San Francisco, so I give them credit for that. However, they should have lost last week’s game. Brad Childress was apparently neutered as a child, because he had no balls whatsoever in his playcalling at the end of the game. He played for a field goal to put his team up by two, even though that meant leaving Baltimore nearly two minutes to run out its offense (that Minnesota’s defense couldn’t stop in the entire second half) to get in field goal range. I still don’t trust Childress, even if he does have Adrian Peterson in his backfield.
3. Denver Broncos (6-0) [6]
What else does this team need to do to get attention? They’re good, end of story. Josh McDaniels has gotten them to play hard, and the defense is superb. Also, even though it doesn’t match the hideous AFL uniforms the Broncos wear, McDaniels’ pale blue hoodie is simply awesome and I kind of want one. Kyle Orton has been great, making McDaniels’ adamant claim that Orton was his guy going into the season make him seem even smarter. I’m pretty sure they already won the AFC West, so even a brutal second half schedule, including these games: @Baltimore, Pittsburgh, New York Giants, @Indianapolis, @Philadelphia can’t make up for games at Washington, versus Oakland, and a home-and-away with Kansas City. Say hello to your first guaranteed playoff team of 2009.
2. Indianapolis Colts (5-0) [1]
Obviously they didn’t do anything to deserve to drop one spot this week, it’s just that I think New Orleans did enough to take the #1 spot. No matter how much praise I give Peyton Manning, it’s never enough. This guy could make Helen Keller, Stevie Wonder, and Ray Charles Pro Bowlers. Not only does he make the right reads at the line of scrimmage, but his passes always seem to be the kind you couldn’t place any better. The return of Anthony Gonzalez isn’t as important now as it may have seemed in Week 1 after he went down, and Bob Sanders should be back soon, which vastly improves the Colts run defense. Another win probably gives this division to Indianapolis, who I think will end up being the #1 seed in the AFC.
1. New Orleans Saints (5-0) [3]
By far the most impressive performance of the week, and probably the entire season unfolded in New Orleans last Sunday. New Orleans embarrassed the Giants, getting touchdowns from: Mike Bell, Jeremy Shockey, Robert Meachem, Lance Moore, Reggie Bush, Marques Colston, and Heath Evans. Notice that list didn’t include their best running back (Pierre Thomas), which is scary. I don’t know if there is a team besides the Colts that can keep up with them on both sides of the ball, which would make them the Super Bowl favorites in the NFC right now. As I mentioned earlier, I think they could easily lose to Miami and the Wildcat on the road this weekend because I think that offense is so difficult to stop and the Dolphins might do to New Orleans what they did to Indianapolis earlier in the year, which is keep the Saints offense on the sidelines. I don’t know if I am ready to elevate Brees to Peyton Manning status just yet, which a quarterback reaches when he understands the time on the clock, the number of timeouts, and how best to position his team for a score, and then goes out and flawlessly executes that plan. If Brees does this, I think New Orleans gets to 6-0 to set up a HUGE game with Atlanta. Nonetheless, the Saints deserve to be atop the rankings this week.
32. St. Louis Rams (0-6) [32]
The Rams showed some promise last week. While Jacksonville isn’t very good outside of Maurice Jones-Drew and Mike Sims-Walker, St. Louis had a lead late in the game before succumbing in overtime. The problem is that, aside from Detroit in Week 8 (and maybe Tennessee in Week 14), there isn’t a seemingly winnable game on the schedule. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this team go 0-16 just one year after the Lions became the first to have that dubious honor.
31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-6) [31]
The good news for the Buccaneers was that they didn’t get shredded through the air last week (only 55 yards allowed). The bad news was that they played Jake Delhomme, who sucks, and the Panthers ran the ball 48 times for 267 yards. Much like St. Louis, Tampa Bay played hard and was competitive, but next week might be a bloodbath. The only team with a worse secondary than Tennessee is Tampa Bay, and Tom Brady just threw for about 1000 yards and thirty touchdowns in the first half against Tennessee last weekend. Couple the fact that this game is in London, despite being a home game for the Bucs, and we are going to have an ugly game on our hands. If you are a bettor, take the Pats to cover, even if the spread hits twenty points.
30. Tennessee Titans (0-6) [26]
The fact that a team who just got taken out back to the woodshed and is winless isn’t the worst team in the NFL speaks volumes about how bad the Rams and Buccaneers are. This team is getting shredded by opponents’ passing games (over 325 yards per game), with no help in sight. Cortland Finnegan just got hurt, downgrading the secondary from laughable to downright awful. It is truly remarkable to think that this team was the best in the league last year. Keep your heads up though Titans’ fans, the Vince Young era might start up again after its hiatus!
29. Washington Redskins (2-4) [25]
If they were the worst 2-3 team in the history of the NFL last week, they are certainly the worst 2-4 team ever. If you take out the Giants, the Redskins’ opponents have a combined record of 4-25. Three of those wins came against Washington, while Carolina also beat the lowly Buccaneers. Speaking of the Tampa Bay, they are one of two teams to fall victim to the mighty Redskins this season (the Rams are the other). The combined margin of victory from those two wins? Five points. Also, your players are asking for votes of confidence from management regarding the coach, who just lost his play-calling duties to a guy whose most recent employment was calling bingo at a retirement home. Since Tennessee can’t lose next week because it’s on a bye, expect Washington to fall again after they lose to Philadelphia on national television.
Interesting Note: Does anyone else besides me find it ironic that the last four teams in my power rankings are also last in an alphabetical list of NFL teams?
28. Cleveland Browns (1-5) [27]
Is it safe to say that Cleveland’s best quarterback option is Josh Cribbs? Sure he threw an interception last week, but so do Brady Quinn and Derek Anderson, right? Why hasn’t Cleveland just lined Cribbs up thirty yards behind center and snapped it to him like a punt return? Their best offensive play is a Cribbs kick return. Also, Mangini has listed twenty-three players on this week’s injury report, which is most likely a record. On a side note, if you’re interested in real estate in the Cleveland area, I hear that Brady Quinn’s house is on the market, perhaps because he couldn’t afford it due to not playing?
27. Oakland Raiders (2-4) [30]
The first real WTF of the season. How in the hell does a team that would have been #32 in the rankings aside from an ugly win (until we saw Cleveland’s riveting 6-3 win over Buffalo) over Kansas beat my #5 team? I have no idea. I still don’t think that the Raiders are any good, especially JaMarcus Russell. Even though he was 17/28 last week for 224 yards, over one-third of those yards came on a twenty yard pass he completed to Zach Miller, who, in turn, took it eighty-six yards to the hizzy (props to Louis Murphy for throwing a block on three different Eagles on the play). They have a shot at three more wins (Kansas City, Washington, @Cleveland), but I think that’s the ceiling. Speaking of which, has anybody heard anything from Darrius Heyward-Bey? Michael Crabtree hasn’t even set foot on the field yet and he’s been in the news constantly.
26. Buffalo Bills (2-4) [28]
Yeah, that was painful to watch as a Jets fan. I don’t think the Bills are any good, I just think that they were less bad than the Jets on Sunday. Aided by five Mark Sanchez (and one Steven Weatherford) interceptions, the Bills were able to squeak out a win in the Meadowlands. With Trent Edwards likely out for at least a week with a concussion, they’ll rely heavily on the running back tandem of Marshawn Lynch and Fred Jackson, who should be getting a ton more work than he is. They certainly have winnable games in the future, but the anemic pass offense needs to get going, which I don’t think it will.
25. Kansas City Chiefs (1-5) [29]
Finally the Chiefs leave behind their winless brothers at the bottom of the rankings, and all it took was a visit from Washington. The Titans should be bummed that they don’t get a shot at the Redskins this season, because they’d have a legitimate shot at winning. Anyway, Matt Cassel has done some nice things with this offense, and Dwayne Bowe looks as dominant as he has in the past. While I don’t see Kansas City winning many games this season, they can take pride in the fact that they’re at least playing hard each week. I am also anxiously awaiting Todd Haley benching Larry Johnson for Jamaal Charles so that my late round flier on Charles in fantasy drafts becomes validated.
24. Detroit Lions (1-5) [24]
The three cogs of their offense, Matthew Stafford, Kevin Smith, and Calvin Johnson, are all banged up. The bye week is certainly coming at the right time, as they were simply overmatched by an above average Packers offense and a very stout defense last week. Another team that I think has limited win potential, but will only get better and probably be dangerous in the future.
23. Carolina Panthers (2-3) [23]
Beating hapless Tampa Bay on a last minute touchdown doesn’t impress me in the least. You, Carolina, are not a good team. Like I said last week, they’ll get to 3-3 after beating Buffalo this week, but then go on a losing streak of at least four, and most likely five. The one positive note for the Panthers is that DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart looked great, meaning that Jake Delhomme didn’t have to do much. I also don’t generally praise teams whose best offensive weapons publicly state that they are no longer an asset to the offense.
22. Jacksonville Jaguars (3-3) [21]
This team is an enigma. They played Indianapolis to a two-point game in Week 1, but got crushed by Seattle before barely beating St. Louis last week. Maurice Jones-Drew is definitely the guy there, and got rewarded for the rant he went on that I discussed last week. I could see them going anywhere from 5-11 to 10-6 and I wouldn’t be surprised. Mike Sims-Walker has been great so far (excluding his suspension for going out before the Seattle game), and helps the offense click better. Only time will tell with this team.
21. Seattle Seahawks (2-4) [19]
Matt Hasselbeck claimed that whenever his mom was in attendance at Seahawks home games, they were undefeated. The number was somewhere in the teens I think, which should have gotten it one of those sections on SportsCenter where they talk about the best streaks of all time. On July 17, 1941, Joe DiMaggio’s 56-game hitting streak came to an end against the Cleveland Indians. That makes the Arizona Cardinals the Cleveland Indians of the NFL, as, on October 18, 2009, they ended Mama Hasselbeck’s streak. It’ll be tough for Seattle to make noise in the NFC West since it already trails San Francisco and the
20. San Diego Chargers (2-3) [18]
I posted these rankings on a message board on ESPN and was scoffed at by a diehard Chargers fan saying that they were too low. After seeing them lose the Monday night game (and, most likely, the AFC West), to Denver I can say that I disagree. The defense isn’t very good. In five games, it has only seven sacks and four interceptions, and doesn’t show any promise of getting better any time soon. LaDainian Tomlinson showed some burst for the first time all season, but I want to see him sustain it for a few weeks before I say he’s back. Philip Rivers doesn’t have enough time to throw, as the Broncos proved to us. He fumbled three times, including on the final drive because the line couldn’t block A Gap blitzes, which get to the quarterback the quickest. They’ve got two games against Kansas City and another with Oakland upcoming, so they can prove me wrong by dominating those outings.
19. Houston Texans (3-3) [22]
This is the only AFC South team without a loss to the Colts, who they play twice in the next six weeks. Sorry Houston, but I don’t see you beating Indy in either matchup. They are definitely a wild card candidate, but they’ll have to do some damage before tough season ending games at Miami and versus New England. Steve Slaton appears to be coming around, Matt Schaub is proving that he’s a top quarterback in this league when healthy, and Andre Johnson is still a man among boys.
18. Arizona Cardinals (3-2) [20]
I still think Arizona’s Achilles heel will be its inability to run the ball. With Kurt Warner slinging it again and Larry Fitzgerald dominating, they have no problem scoring. A healthy Anquan Boldin would make this team a much bigger threat, so I’ll keep an eye on his ailings. The defense has been surprisingly good, as it’s #1 against the run, and somewhat serviceable against the pass. Like I said earlier, the biggest problem lies in the fact that the team cannot run the ball to work the clock when it has a lead. If they don’t figure that out, I don’t think they will make too much noise.
17. New York Jets (3-3) [9]
Ouch. Tied for the biggest drop of the week, the Jets lost more than just the game on Sunday. Who I thought to be the most irreplaceable player on the team, Kris Jenkins, is now done for the season after tearing his ACL on a standard NFL play. I honestly believe that the Jets would have at least tied that game with Jenkins playing, despite Mark Sanchez’s debacle. The Bills were getting five or six yards per carry after he went out, which is a trend I fear might continue as the season progresses. Luckily they get the Raiders this week, which should allow them to get back above .500 before another tough test with Miami. As a fan I am happy that Mark Sanchez is being accountable for his horrific play, and I continue to think that he will be a successful NFL quarterback in the future.
16. Dallas Cowboys (3-2) [17]
Teams 10-19 are all question marks to me, and I did the best to rank them as I could. Dallas, on paper, should be great. They’ve got three very good running backs, a seemingly talented quarterback, and a great tight end. Nobody seems to know what Roy Williams is as a player, but the general consensus is that he sucks. Too bad Jerry Jones overpaid for him and is essentially going to force him to be a part of the offense. Also, what happened to Demarcus Ware? He had twenty sacks last season, but only two so far this year. The defense needs to get going in order for this team to go anywhere this year.
15. Miami Dolphins (2-3) [16]
To me, this is the most dangerous team lurking in this middle pack. Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams run the Wildcat flawlessly, and it’s damn near impossible to stop when those guys are reading defenses properly. Chad Henne is good. Period. He started four years at Michigan, and didn’t seem fazed in the least by the Jets’ blitzes two weeks ago. As long as the defense is able to stop opposing offenses so that the offense doesn’t have to hang thirty every week, they will win a bunch of ballgames. I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see them beat New Orleans this weekend and continue their march to a wild card berth.
14. San Francisco 49ers (3-2) [14]
The bye week came at a great time to the 49ers. After a heartbreaking loss to Minnesota, a bounceback game against the Rams, and a shellacking at the hands of Atlanta, San Francisco got a chance to regroup, get Frank Gore healthy, and get Michael Crabtree acclimated to the offense. I love hearing that Josh Morgan, who lost his starting spot to Crabtree, was still helping Crabtree learn the offense anyway. Those are the kind of team-first, character guys you build a squad around. I hope good things come for him in the future. If the offense gets going, Patrick Willis and the defense will take care of the rest and this team could easily roll to an NFC West crown.
13. Philadelphia Eagles (3-2) [5]
Bye bye Eliminator Challenge. A last-minute change of my pick from the Steelers to the Eagles was the wrong move, as the Eagles thought they were playing in Philadelphia last Sunday and didn’t show up to play in Oakland, so a combination of fifty-three men and women wearing Eagles jerseys who showed up for the game had a massive tailgate and then played the game against the Raiders, falling just short in a valiant effort, 13-9. Wait, that didn’t happen? Well, it sounds more plausible than what took place, at the very least. I still think Philadelphia is a good team and will be in the playoffs, but a loss to Oakland is inexcusable.
12. Cincinnati Bengals (4-2) [7]
The defense was the latest victim of Matt Schaub’s march through opposing secondaries, as they surrendered just under 400 yards to the Texans through the air. Cedric Benson cooled off a bit last week, only rushing for forty-four yards on sixteen carries. The loss of Antwan Odom for the year will be huge, so we’ll see how they replace him on the defensive line. After a tough game at home against Chicago and a bye, Cincinnati will show us what it’s made of with back-to-back games against Baltimore and at Pittsburgh.
11. Green Bay Packers (3-2) [15]
How good is Aaron Rodgers? He doesn’t have an offensive line and is still completing 65% of his passes for nearly 300 yards per game, with a 4:1 TD-to-interception ratio. Oh, if that wasn’t good enough, he also has a rushing touchdown. And he saves kids from burning buildings. To complement Rodgers, Ryan Grant has been consistent, albeit not great, and the defense is fresh off of a shutout, even if it was against a depleted Detroit Lions team. Still, tough divisional foes in Chicago and Minnesota make the road to the playoffs that much tougher.
10. Chicago Bears (3-2) [12]
I know that the Packers beat the Bears head-to-head and they have identical 3-2 records, yet I have Chicago ranked ahead of Green Bay. If, in your mind, that’s wrong, then switch them and mentally put Green Bay at ten and Chicago at eleven. I think Chicago has the more impressive win (over Pittsburgh), and that Jay Cutler has been infinitely better since his debacle in Week 1. The big question mark here is Matt Forte. Where is the guy we saw last year? Have opposing defenses learned how to stop him? Is he not as good as we thought? I have questions, but only Matt Forte and the Bears have answers. Much like Houston and Indianapolis, I also like the fact that Chicago still gets two cracks at Minnesota, in which they can get even in the loss column and take a head-to-head advantage.
9. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2) [13]
They are starting to resemble the team we thought they’d be. Mike Tomlin has wisely named Rashard Mendenhall his starter, which I think will benefit them in the long run. Ben Roethlisberger is slinging the ball all over the field, yet is completing 72.5% of his passes. Hines Ward is smiling, while on pace to catch over 100 balls, and the defense is still pretty solid, especially now that Hair Polamalu is back. Four out of the next five are very tough (Minnesota, BYE, @Denver on MNF, Cincinnati, @Kansas City, @Baltimore on Sunday night). If they get three or four of them, they will have come out of the schedule very well.
8. Baltimore Ravens (3-3) [11]
Steven F-ing Hauscka is what the Ravens fans are probably saying to themselves (and each other) right now. A 44-yard field goal in a dome isn’t terribly difficult for a kicker, and I know that he was under pressure and the Metrodome is loud, but kickers are expected to make those kicks, and Hauschka will be the first one to tell you that. Anyway, despite three consecutive losses (to teams with a combined 14-4 record), I still think this is a playoff team. Ray Rice has emerged as an elite back in the NFL, Joe Flacco is amazing, and the defense, while not what it once was, can still make enough plays to win games.
7. Atlanta Falcons (4-1) [8]
This is the one team that has a remote chance of challenging New Orleans in the NFC South. Matt Ryan is amazing, Roddy White confirmed that he is, in fact, out of his coma, Tony Gonzalez is a beast, and Michael Turner is running like he did last year again. I definitely think they’re a playoff bound team again, and am anxious to see how they perform on the road against Dallas this week before next week’s showdown with the Saints in the Superdome.
6. New York Giants (5-1) [2]
The drop wasn’t because I think they’re the sixth best team, but more due to the fact that New Orleans took it to them last week. Drew Brees threw for 369 yards and four touchdowns. Seven different Saints scored a touchdown, showing that the Giants can be beaten in a variety of ways. The nail in the coffin was Reggie Bush’s touchdown before halftime that made it a seventeen-point game again. I still don’t think that the team is in trouble as far as winning the NFC East or making the playoffs, but that showing was one they’ll want to forget.
5. New England Patriots (4-2) [10]
Say hello to your 2009 AFC East champions. I know that it was Tennessee who currently can’t stop the Little Giants’ connection of Junior to Hot Hands, but a fifty-nine-point victory over any NFL team is damn impressive. Tom Brady wasn’t overthrowing receivers, and Wes Welker was, for the first time, not on the injury report. They are going to continue to roll and piss me off, and I cannot even imagine what’s going to happen next time they play the Jets. I hate the Patriots…a lot.
4. Minnesota Vikings (6-0) [4]
I know they just beat my #8 team, but this is a team that could easily be 4-2. I understand that they made a play to beat San Francisco, so I give them credit for that. However, they should have lost last week’s game. Brad Childress was apparently neutered as a child, because he had no balls whatsoever in his playcalling at the end of the game. He played for a field goal to put his team up by two, even though that meant leaving Baltimore nearly two minutes to run out its offense (that Minnesota’s defense couldn’t stop in the entire second half) to get in field goal range. I still don’t trust Childress, even if he does have Adrian Peterson in his backfield.
3. Denver Broncos (6-0) [6]
What else does this team need to do to get attention? They’re good, end of story. Josh McDaniels has gotten them to play hard, and the defense is superb. Also, even though it doesn’t match the hideous AFL uniforms the Broncos wear, McDaniels’ pale blue hoodie is simply awesome and I kind of want one. Kyle Orton has been great, making McDaniels’ adamant claim that Orton was his guy going into the season make him seem even smarter. I’m pretty sure they already won the AFC West, so even a brutal second half schedule, including these games: @Baltimore, Pittsburgh, New York Giants, @Indianapolis, @Philadelphia can’t make up for games at Washington, versus Oakland, and a home-and-away with Kansas City. Say hello to your first guaranteed playoff team of 2009.
2. Indianapolis Colts (5-0) [1]
Obviously they didn’t do anything to deserve to drop one spot this week, it’s just that I think New Orleans did enough to take the #1 spot. No matter how much praise I give Peyton Manning, it’s never enough. This guy could make Helen Keller, Stevie Wonder, and Ray Charles Pro Bowlers. Not only does he make the right reads at the line of scrimmage, but his passes always seem to be the kind you couldn’t place any better. The return of Anthony Gonzalez isn’t as important now as it may have seemed in Week 1 after he went down, and Bob Sanders should be back soon, which vastly improves the Colts run defense. Another win probably gives this division to Indianapolis, who I think will end up being the #1 seed in the AFC.
1. New Orleans Saints (5-0) [3]
By far the most impressive performance of the week, and probably the entire season unfolded in New Orleans last Sunday. New Orleans embarrassed the Giants, getting touchdowns from: Mike Bell, Jeremy Shockey, Robert Meachem, Lance Moore, Reggie Bush, Marques Colston, and Heath Evans. Notice that list didn’t include their best running back (Pierre Thomas), which is scary. I don’t know if there is a team besides the Colts that can keep up with them on both sides of the ball, which would make them the Super Bowl favorites in the NFC right now. As I mentioned earlier, I think they could easily lose to Miami and the Wildcat on the road this weekend because I think that offense is so difficult to stop and the Dolphins might do to New Orleans what they did to Indianapolis earlier in the year, which is keep the Saints offense on the sidelines. I don’t know if I am ready to elevate Brees to Peyton Manning status just yet, which a quarterback reaches when he understands the time on the clock, the number of timeouts, and how best to position his team for a score, and then goes out and flawlessly executes that plan. If Brees does this, I think New Orleans gets to 6-0 to set up a HUGE game with Atlanta. Nonetheless, the Saints deserve to be atop the rankings this week.
Thursday, October 15, 2009
NFL Power Rankings: Week 6
I know that I haven't posted for a while, and I am sorry for that. I will try to post more often in the coming weeks, which is good news for all two of my followers. Anyway, on to the post. Obviously this isn’t a new invention, as multiple sites and people conduct their own power rankings on a weekly basis. Due to the fact that there are some very awful teams and some great ones, my power rankings will probably be relatively similar to others at the extreme ends. With further ado, here are my power rankings for Week 6 (I am doing them in inverse order, because it’s far more interesting and suspenseful to read them that way):
32. St. Louis Rams (0-5)
There really isn’t much to say about this team. They are averaging less than seven points per game while giving up nearly thirty. Granted they haven’t played the easiest schedule in the NFL (their combined opponents record is 14-10), but they haven’t exactly been competitive, excluding a 9-7 defeat to the lowly Washington Redskins, and the schedule doesn’t get much friendlier. Unless they beat Detroit in Week 8, it’s very possible that we see a team go 0-16 for the second consecutive season.
Note: Shannon Sharpe summed up the Rams best last Sunday when he said of them, “They have their bye in Week 9, but they’re going to lose that too.”
31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-5)
Another one of the teams who’s terrible, Tampa’s biggest downfall is its pass defense, which is struggling mightily in transitioning from a Cover 2 to playing more man-to-man. However, this team has shown some signs of life, as Josh Johnson seems to be leading the offense to more promising things. If the defense can solve some of its problems, they may get to three or four wins.
30. Oakland Raiders (1-4)
I know, I know. They have a win, and it comes against a winless team that I’ll be ranking higher than them. I don’t care. This team is downright terrible. In fact, if not for that win against Kansas City, I’d have no problem ranking Oakland at the bottom of the list. Their coach might be going to jail soon for assaulting one of his assistants, their starting quarterback sucks, is overweight, sucks, doesn’t care, and sucks. In fact, I tried to use the argument on Monday when Mark Sanchez got called for intentional grounding that, “JaMarcus Russell routinely misses wide receivers by that much and doesn’t get called for grounding.” This team is destined for failure as long as Al Davis is involved with the operations.
29. Kansas City Chiefs (0-5)
Unlike the Raiders, I don’t believe the Chiefs have thrown in the towel yet this season. They nearly beat the Cowboys last week, which isn’t saying much, but is still respectable. Dwayne Bowe came to life last week, and, once Jamaal Charles gets more work, this team can do some damage. I expect them to beat the Redskins this week for their first win.
28. Buffalo Bills (1-4)
Boy do I see enjoying an AFC East rival (and one with Terrell Owens on its roster) struggle. Obviously, firing your offensive coordinator before the season starts is not something teams want to emulate, as all three teams who did (Tampa, Kansas City, and Buffalo) are in the bottom five of the power rankings (and are a combined 1-14). Dick Jauron is going to be fired soon, I can’t see him lasting much longer in Buffalo. Plus, I am excited to see Owens go crazy in a few weeks…I’ve already got my popcorn ready, and so does Hitler.
27. Cleveland Browns (1-4)
Not surprisingly, Cleveland is enjoined with Buffalo in the rankings. They could barely separate each other on the field last weekend (a pathetic 6-3 Browns win), so why should they be any different on paper? Derek Anderson went 2/17 for 23 yards and an interception! I wouldn’t want to entrust my team to that all year long. I can say one nice thing about Cleveland though, which is that it has given the Jets Mark Sanchez and Braylon Edwards so far this season. For that, we Jets fans thank you.
26. Tennessee Titans (0-5)
2008 Titans – Albert Haynesworth + Being one year older across the board = Disaster. This team, much like the Bucs, cannot stop the pass. Teams consistently beat them through the air, and the Titans offensive strength lies in its running game (Chris Johnson, but not big, fat LenDale White [copyright Matthew Berry]), only they’re constantly behind, so they have to rely on the 36 year-old Kerry Collins to bring them back, which clearly hasn’t happened yet. While they’ll get a few wins this year, they’ll be picking in the Top 10 come April.
25. Washington Redskins (2-3)
Has there ever been a worse 2-3 team in the history of the NFL? I mean, they can’t do anything. They have yet to play a team that, at the time of the game, had a win on the season. While they looked respectable in the season opener against the Giants, that was the extent of their excellence. They helped the Lions end their 19-game losing streak, let the Panthers get their first W on the year, and beat the Rams and the Buccaneers (numbers 31 and 32 in the power rankings) by a combined five points for their only two wins. I forsee them helping Kansas City get its first win this weekend, and a further plummet in the rankings.
24. Detroit Lions (1-4)
They are playing hard, and I will never knock a team for that. They’ve assembled a nice young core with Matthew Stafford, Kevin Smith, Calvin Johnson, and Brandon Pettigrew. The problem is that the problem isn’t the offense, it’s the defense. They have allowed a league high 162 points through five weeks, a problem I don’t see getting much better. Winnable games against St. Louis and Cleveland lie ahead, but I don’t think the team can get any more than four or five wins this season.
23. Carolina Panthers (1-3)
They are a Byron Westbrook muffed punt away from being 0-4 and closer to the bottom of this ranking. As is, they won the game against Washington and sit at 1-3. The offensive line doesn’t seem capable of opening up holes like it did last season, when it allowed DeAngelo Williams to seemingly score at will. Jake Delhomme, while looking better since his dismal start to the season, still isn’t a great quarterback, and certainly not one I would want leading my team. Upcoming games against doormats Tampa Bay and Buffalo should allow Carolina to get to .500, but a brutal schedule down the stretch doesn’t bode well for the team.
22. Houston Texans (2-3)
This is where the rankings are getting tougher. There is certainly a huge falloff from Houston to Carolina. I put the Texans here because they’ve already lost two games at home (which was their strong point last season), have a miserable defense (it was on pace to be the worst of all-time through three weeks), and Steve Slaton, last season’s fantasy darling, has been disappointing. Andre Johnson can only do so much, which, as he proved last week, is quite a bit, and the Texans need more than that.
21. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3)
With a head-to-head win over Houston, the Jaguars get the nod over the Texans in the power rankings. They’ve got a nice 2-1 record within their division, but the Week 1 loss to the Colts could come back to haunt them, since they are already three games behind division-leading Indianapolis. I don’t really get this team though, as it got waxed by Seattle last week (41-0) after putting up 31 and 37 points in the two previous weeks. Maurice Jones-Drew pouted about the offense having no identity for fifteen minutes after the Seattle game, so let’s see how the team responds going forward.
20. Arizona Cardinals (2-2)
This team is having problems defending the pass and throwing the ball downfield, two things that helped them during their run to the Super Bowl last season. They also can’t establish any semblance of a running game, which hurts them in the later stages of a game when trying to protect a lead (like last week against Houston). Next week’s game against the following team in my rankings should help sort things out a bit more.
19. Seattle Seahawks (2-3)
If Matt Hasselbeck can stay healthy, watch out. He’s got two great weapons in T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Nate Burleson. The defense is underrated, and Qwest Field is a legitimate home-field advantage. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them make a run at the division title during the second half of the season.
18. San Diego Chargers (2-2)
We will find out what this San Diego team is all about this Monday when they square off against the undefeated Broncos. The Chargers barely beat Oakland and struggled to beat Miami, which is looking like a more impressive victory with each passing week. Close losses to Baltimore and Pittsburgh are tough to figure out as well, since both of those teams are teetering between the upper and middle echelons of the rankings. I think the Chargers will win this week, because a loss will all but mean the Broncos will win the division.
17. Dallas Cowboys (3-2)
This middle pack of teams can go either way. I honestly have no idea if the Cowboys are good or bad, so I am sticking them in the middle. They’re 3-2, squeaked by the winless Chiefs last weekend, were unimpressive in beating Carolina, and also beat the Buccaneers. However, their only losses came to the 5-0 Giants and the 5-0 Broncos, who are both elite teams this year. Tony Romo can shine or disappoint, and you never seem to be able to predict which Tony will show up. After getting this week off, Dallas plays four of its next six at home before playing the Giants again. I could see them winning four or five of those and setting up a good showdown with the G-Men that could decide the Cowboys playoff fate.
16. Miami Dolphins (2-3)
Once again, I am ranking a team in front of a team it beat. In this case, Miami is above San Diego. That Monday night loss was crushing as a Jets fan, because the defense got abused by Miami’s wildcat offense. In addition, Chad Henne did exactly what he will have to do for the Dolphins. He didn’t turn the ball over, converted a few key third downs (he was impeccable on the final drive), and connected with Ted Ginn Jr. on a homerun play that the Dolphins will get a shot at every game. Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams run the Wildcat to perfection, and the constant personnel changes keeps defenses on their toes. This team will be tough to deal with down the road.
15. Green Bay Packers (2-2)
The Packers have monumental problems on their offensive line. Aaron Rodgers has been sacked twenty times in four games, which is about 14% of the time he drops back to pass. In layman’s terms, “That’s not very good.” Unless Rodgers is given some more time to stand up and make throws, Greg Jennings won’t be much of a factor, which doesn’t bode well for Green Bay. With two respectable losses (Cincinnati and Minnesota), and a tight win against Chicago, Green Bay looks like it might struggle to win consistently unless it fixes its problems.
14. San Francisco 49ers (3-2)
This team is supposed to go out and hit people in the mouth. Well, it was the recipient of the oral blow last week, as Atlanta came into San Francisco and lambasted the 49ers. This followed a heartbreaking, last second loss at Minnesota. I think the bye week has come at a great time for San Francisco, as it will allow Mike Singletary to right the ship, and get Frank Gore back to full health. The other big thing for the 49ers is that they are already 3-0 in their division, and are probably the best team in the NFC West.
13. Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2)
I don’t know if their reputation is leading me to rank the Steelers higher, or I think this is where they belong. They opened up the season with what appeared to be a gritty win against a game Titans team, but that victory looks worse and worse as Tennessee keeps losing. Consecutive losses to Chicago and Cincinnati are acceptable, but not impressive. I think the turning point of the season may have been Rashard Mendenhall’s breakout game against San Diego, and expect him to get the bulk of the carries going forward, even if Willie Parker is healthy. With Hair Polamalu returning this week, the team seems to be back on track.
12. Chicago Bears (3-1)
After Week 1, Bears fans were cursing Jay Cutler and his turnover prone-ness. Now? Not so much. He is making plays and leading the Bears to victory after victory. They still have four divisional games left, including two against Minnesota, so the NFC North might be one of the tightest races in the league.
11. Baltimore Ravens (3-2)
Three weeks ago, ESPN had Baltimore at #1 in its rankings. That was due to the fact that the Ravens were thumping inferior opponents. After getting dominated (not on the scoreboard, but physically) by the Patriots and the Bengals, the Ravens have been humbled a bit. I am interested to see how they play this week against 5-0 Minnesota before their bye week. Making Ray Rice more involved in the offense is their best bet, so it’ll be something to keep an eye on.
10. New England Patriots (3-2)
For me, another jump up from the previous team. The Patriots, despite getting underwhelming production from Tom Brady and Randy Moss (Patriots fans would agree with me that neither has played anywhere near what he’s capable of) have beaten two solid teams in Baltimore and Atlanta, and have lost to the 5-0 Broncos and “should be 4-1 but are actually 3-2” Jets. I hope the Patriots go 3-13, but they’ll be solid, as always.
9. New York Jets (3-2)
Monday night was incredibly disappointing as a fan. I knew it wasn’t going to be a good night when the Dolphins marched down the field on the opening drive, which culminated in a touchdown after 7:30. That was the longest scoring drive the Jets surrendered all season, and stayed that way until the fourth quarter, when the Dolphins finished a drive that consumed 8:41 off the clock. As I already said about Miami, they look to be on the upswing, but I hope that this loss motivates the Jets in the upcoming weeks. I also would like to point out that Braylon Edwards looks AWESOME. I am so excited about the Sanchez-Edwards hook up that I may buy, and wear, both of their jerseys…at the same time.
8. Atlanta Falcons (3-1)
The loss to New England had to be upsetting, since the Falcons didn’t put up much of a fight, but they certainly came out of their bye week strongly. They DOMINATED the 49ers on the road, Michael Turner was running hard, and Roddy White came out of his coma. Those two, when combined with Matt Ryan and Tony Gonzalez, create a team with some of the most offensive firepower in the league. It is up to Atlanta to challenge New Orleans for the division title, since Tampa Bay and Carolina are no better than five win teams.
7. Cincinnati Bengals (4-1)
“Who dey! Who dey! Who dey think gonna beat dem Bengals? (Aside from the Denver Broncos) NOBODY!” This team is legit. Cedric Benson leads the NFL in rushing, and is running harder than he ever has in his career. Carson Palmer is getting back into his stride and knows how to win. Ochocinco is quieter than normal, which has coincided with his being more productive. Cincinnati may be able to compete with the big dogs, as they’ve already beaten Baltimore and Pittsburgh. Hopefully they keep it up and make the season interesting.
6. Denver Broncos (5-0)
Josh McDaniels has this team believing. He has Brandon Marshall playing extremely well, perhaps only bested by Andre Johnson so far this year in his domination. Kyle Orton is making plays and not beating the team with turnovers like he did in the preseason. The defense, which I thought would be abysmal coming into the season, has been superb. What else can I say? A win against San Diego this week will move them up the rankings and, in my opinion, clinch the division after just six weeks. About the only thing that this team has done wrong so far is wear the world’s most hideous uniforms last week against New England.
5. Philadelphia Eagles (3-1)
The only one-loss team that gets ranked above an undefeated. The Eagles look very good. Donovan McNabb is slinging it, and Jeremy Maclin and DeSean Jackson should give opposing corners headaches with their abilities to stretch the field. Those speedsters open up the field for Brent Celek, who has done plenty of damage thus far. Brian Westbrook now has a backup that may be more dangerous than him in LeSean McCoy, and the defense is playing in Jim Johnson’s memory. Philadelphia should challenge the Giants for the NFC East crown.
4. Minnesota Vikings (5-0)
They’re undeniably good. Defenses gear up to stop Adrian Peterson, so Brett Favre beats them through the air. The defense, while not as dominant as it has been in the past, is still solid once again. The question marks are still there, however. Can Brett Favre stay healthy and play at a high level the entire season? I can tell you as a disgruntled fan that Favre did no such thing last season. Playing indoors might help him when it gets colder, so only time will tell. Can the team keep Brad Childress from having to make key adjustments when it matters? The schedule has been light so far, but games against the Ravens, Steelers, Bengals, and Giants all lurk. Will Childress make the right calls or look confounded again on the sidelines? Finally, how will the rest of the NFC North play? 3-1 Chicago still gets two cracks at Minnesota, and Green Bay gets a revenge opportunity at Lambeau. If Minnesota can weather the storm that is the second half of their schedule, they could be dangerous come playoff time.
3. New Orleans Saints (4-0)
These top three are so close that I could re-order them any which way and be comfortable with how it turned out. I put the Saints here because Drew Brees has looked rather human the last two games. I know that he hasn’t had to do much because the running game has been brilliant, but it isn’t always easy to turn things on and off. The showdown with the Giants this weekend will reveal to us more what these teams are about.
2. New York Giants (5-0)
In my opinion, the Giants are only going to get better. The defense has been banged up, yet it continues to put up great showings. Eli Manning has been nothing short of spectaular, but the plantar fasciitis he suffers from could be problematic in the future. Steve Smith is quickly dropping “The Other” from the front of his name, as he’s been amazing through five games. Mario Manningham and Hakeem Nicks are also dominating, which is remarkable because all three are receivers the Giants themselves drafted. It’s difficult to pinpoint whether a wide receiver’s skills will translate to the professional level, yet the Giants have hit on all three. Like I said above, I am excited about this weekend’s game with the Saints. I still don’t know who I will pick in my Pigskin Pick’Em, and probably won’t until game time.
1. Indianapolis Colts (5-0)
New coach, same results. Indianapolis is 5-0, and already has a stranglehold on the division. Peyton Manning should be given the MVP Award right now. It honestly doesn’t matter what his defense does, because I have complete faith that he’ll lead the Colts’ offense down the field for however many points it needs. The Monday night game in Week 2 against Miami highlighted that. Despite having the ball for less than fifteen minutes, Manning was able to lead the Colts down the field when it mattered. The fact that Marvin Harrison is officially gone (his corpse was trotting out there last year) and Anthony Gonzalez got hurt Week 1 hasn’t hampered Manning at all. He just turned Austin Collie and Pierre Garcon into overnight superstars. I just cannot bring myself to bet against the Colts at all right now, and, until someone beats Peyton, won’t believe it to be possible.
32. St. Louis Rams (0-5)
There really isn’t much to say about this team. They are averaging less than seven points per game while giving up nearly thirty. Granted they haven’t played the easiest schedule in the NFL (their combined opponents record is 14-10), but they haven’t exactly been competitive, excluding a 9-7 defeat to the lowly Washington Redskins, and the schedule doesn’t get much friendlier. Unless they beat Detroit in Week 8, it’s very possible that we see a team go 0-16 for the second consecutive season.
Note: Shannon Sharpe summed up the Rams best last Sunday when he said of them, “They have their bye in Week 9, but they’re going to lose that too.”
31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-5)
Another one of the teams who’s terrible, Tampa’s biggest downfall is its pass defense, which is struggling mightily in transitioning from a Cover 2 to playing more man-to-man. However, this team has shown some signs of life, as Josh Johnson seems to be leading the offense to more promising things. If the defense can solve some of its problems, they may get to three or four wins.
30. Oakland Raiders (1-4)
I know, I know. They have a win, and it comes against a winless team that I’ll be ranking higher than them. I don’t care. This team is downright terrible. In fact, if not for that win against Kansas City, I’d have no problem ranking Oakland at the bottom of the list. Their coach might be going to jail soon for assaulting one of his assistants, their starting quarterback sucks, is overweight, sucks, doesn’t care, and sucks. In fact, I tried to use the argument on Monday when Mark Sanchez got called for intentional grounding that, “JaMarcus Russell routinely misses wide receivers by that much and doesn’t get called for grounding.” This team is destined for failure as long as Al Davis is involved with the operations.
29. Kansas City Chiefs (0-5)
Unlike the Raiders, I don’t believe the Chiefs have thrown in the towel yet this season. They nearly beat the Cowboys last week, which isn’t saying much, but is still respectable. Dwayne Bowe came to life last week, and, once Jamaal Charles gets more work, this team can do some damage. I expect them to beat the Redskins this week for their first win.
28. Buffalo Bills (1-4)
Boy do I see enjoying an AFC East rival (and one with Terrell Owens on its roster) struggle. Obviously, firing your offensive coordinator before the season starts is not something teams want to emulate, as all three teams who did (Tampa, Kansas City, and Buffalo) are in the bottom five of the power rankings (and are a combined 1-14). Dick Jauron is going to be fired soon, I can’t see him lasting much longer in Buffalo. Plus, I am excited to see Owens go crazy in a few weeks…I’ve already got my popcorn ready, and so does Hitler.
27. Cleveland Browns (1-4)
Not surprisingly, Cleveland is enjoined with Buffalo in the rankings. They could barely separate each other on the field last weekend (a pathetic 6-3 Browns win), so why should they be any different on paper? Derek Anderson went 2/17 for 23 yards and an interception! I wouldn’t want to entrust my team to that all year long. I can say one nice thing about Cleveland though, which is that it has given the Jets Mark Sanchez and Braylon Edwards so far this season. For that, we Jets fans thank you.
26. Tennessee Titans (0-5)
2008 Titans – Albert Haynesworth + Being one year older across the board = Disaster. This team, much like the Bucs, cannot stop the pass. Teams consistently beat them through the air, and the Titans offensive strength lies in its running game (Chris Johnson, but not big, fat LenDale White [copyright Matthew Berry]), only they’re constantly behind, so they have to rely on the 36 year-old Kerry Collins to bring them back, which clearly hasn’t happened yet. While they’ll get a few wins this year, they’ll be picking in the Top 10 come April.
25. Washington Redskins (2-3)
Has there ever been a worse 2-3 team in the history of the NFL? I mean, they can’t do anything. They have yet to play a team that, at the time of the game, had a win on the season. While they looked respectable in the season opener against the Giants, that was the extent of their excellence. They helped the Lions end their 19-game losing streak, let the Panthers get their first W on the year, and beat the Rams and the Buccaneers (numbers 31 and 32 in the power rankings) by a combined five points for their only two wins. I forsee them helping Kansas City get its first win this weekend, and a further plummet in the rankings.
24. Detroit Lions (1-4)
They are playing hard, and I will never knock a team for that. They’ve assembled a nice young core with Matthew Stafford, Kevin Smith, Calvin Johnson, and Brandon Pettigrew. The problem is that the problem isn’t the offense, it’s the defense. They have allowed a league high 162 points through five weeks, a problem I don’t see getting much better. Winnable games against St. Louis and Cleveland lie ahead, but I don’t think the team can get any more than four or five wins this season.
23. Carolina Panthers (1-3)
They are a Byron Westbrook muffed punt away from being 0-4 and closer to the bottom of this ranking. As is, they won the game against Washington and sit at 1-3. The offensive line doesn’t seem capable of opening up holes like it did last season, when it allowed DeAngelo Williams to seemingly score at will. Jake Delhomme, while looking better since his dismal start to the season, still isn’t a great quarterback, and certainly not one I would want leading my team. Upcoming games against doormats Tampa Bay and Buffalo should allow Carolina to get to .500, but a brutal schedule down the stretch doesn’t bode well for the team.
22. Houston Texans (2-3)
This is where the rankings are getting tougher. There is certainly a huge falloff from Houston to Carolina. I put the Texans here because they’ve already lost two games at home (which was their strong point last season), have a miserable defense (it was on pace to be the worst of all-time through three weeks), and Steve Slaton, last season’s fantasy darling, has been disappointing. Andre Johnson can only do so much, which, as he proved last week, is quite a bit, and the Texans need more than that.
21. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3)
With a head-to-head win over Houston, the Jaguars get the nod over the Texans in the power rankings. They’ve got a nice 2-1 record within their division, but the Week 1 loss to the Colts could come back to haunt them, since they are already three games behind division-leading Indianapolis. I don’t really get this team though, as it got waxed by Seattle last week (41-0) after putting up 31 and 37 points in the two previous weeks. Maurice Jones-Drew pouted about the offense having no identity for fifteen minutes after the Seattle game, so let’s see how the team responds going forward.
20. Arizona Cardinals (2-2)
This team is having problems defending the pass and throwing the ball downfield, two things that helped them during their run to the Super Bowl last season. They also can’t establish any semblance of a running game, which hurts them in the later stages of a game when trying to protect a lead (like last week against Houston). Next week’s game against the following team in my rankings should help sort things out a bit more.
19. Seattle Seahawks (2-3)
If Matt Hasselbeck can stay healthy, watch out. He’s got two great weapons in T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Nate Burleson. The defense is underrated, and Qwest Field is a legitimate home-field advantage. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them make a run at the division title during the second half of the season.
18. San Diego Chargers (2-2)
We will find out what this San Diego team is all about this Monday when they square off against the undefeated Broncos. The Chargers barely beat Oakland and struggled to beat Miami, which is looking like a more impressive victory with each passing week. Close losses to Baltimore and Pittsburgh are tough to figure out as well, since both of those teams are teetering between the upper and middle echelons of the rankings. I think the Chargers will win this week, because a loss will all but mean the Broncos will win the division.
17. Dallas Cowboys (3-2)
This middle pack of teams can go either way. I honestly have no idea if the Cowboys are good or bad, so I am sticking them in the middle. They’re 3-2, squeaked by the winless Chiefs last weekend, were unimpressive in beating Carolina, and also beat the Buccaneers. However, their only losses came to the 5-0 Giants and the 5-0 Broncos, who are both elite teams this year. Tony Romo can shine or disappoint, and you never seem to be able to predict which Tony will show up. After getting this week off, Dallas plays four of its next six at home before playing the Giants again. I could see them winning four or five of those and setting up a good showdown with the G-Men that could decide the Cowboys playoff fate.
16. Miami Dolphins (2-3)
Once again, I am ranking a team in front of a team it beat. In this case, Miami is above San Diego. That Monday night loss was crushing as a Jets fan, because the defense got abused by Miami’s wildcat offense. In addition, Chad Henne did exactly what he will have to do for the Dolphins. He didn’t turn the ball over, converted a few key third downs (he was impeccable on the final drive), and connected with Ted Ginn Jr. on a homerun play that the Dolphins will get a shot at every game. Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams run the Wildcat to perfection, and the constant personnel changes keeps defenses on their toes. This team will be tough to deal with down the road.
15. Green Bay Packers (2-2)
The Packers have monumental problems on their offensive line. Aaron Rodgers has been sacked twenty times in four games, which is about 14% of the time he drops back to pass. In layman’s terms, “That’s not very good.” Unless Rodgers is given some more time to stand up and make throws, Greg Jennings won’t be much of a factor, which doesn’t bode well for Green Bay. With two respectable losses (Cincinnati and Minnesota), and a tight win against Chicago, Green Bay looks like it might struggle to win consistently unless it fixes its problems.
14. San Francisco 49ers (3-2)
This team is supposed to go out and hit people in the mouth. Well, it was the recipient of the oral blow last week, as Atlanta came into San Francisco and lambasted the 49ers. This followed a heartbreaking, last second loss at Minnesota. I think the bye week has come at a great time for San Francisco, as it will allow Mike Singletary to right the ship, and get Frank Gore back to full health. The other big thing for the 49ers is that they are already 3-0 in their division, and are probably the best team in the NFC West.
13. Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2)
I don’t know if their reputation is leading me to rank the Steelers higher, or I think this is where they belong. They opened up the season with what appeared to be a gritty win against a game Titans team, but that victory looks worse and worse as Tennessee keeps losing. Consecutive losses to Chicago and Cincinnati are acceptable, but not impressive. I think the turning point of the season may have been Rashard Mendenhall’s breakout game against San Diego, and expect him to get the bulk of the carries going forward, even if Willie Parker is healthy. With Hair Polamalu returning this week, the team seems to be back on track.
12. Chicago Bears (3-1)
After Week 1, Bears fans were cursing Jay Cutler and his turnover prone-ness. Now? Not so much. He is making plays and leading the Bears to victory after victory. They still have four divisional games left, including two against Minnesota, so the NFC North might be one of the tightest races in the league.
11. Baltimore Ravens (3-2)
Three weeks ago, ESPN had Baltimore at #1 in its rankings. That was due to the fact that the Ravens were thumping inferior opponents. After getting dominated (not on the scoreboard, but physically) by the Patriots and the Bengals, the Ravens have been humbled a bit. I am interested to see how they play this week against 5-0 Minnesota before their bye week. Making Ray Rice more involved in the offense is their best bet, so it’ll be something to keep an eye on.
10. New England Patriots (3-2)
For me, another jump up from the previous team. The Patriots, despite getting underwhelming production from Tom Brady and Randy Moss (Patriots fans would agree with me that neither has played anywhere near what he’s capable of) have beaten two solid teams in Baltimore and Atlanta, and have lost to the 5-0 Broncos and “should be 4-1 but are actually 3-2” Jets. I hope the Patriots go 3-13, but they’ll be solid, as always.
9. New York Jets (3-2)
Monday night was incredibly disappointing as a fan. I knew it wasn’t going to be a good night when the Dolphins marched down the field on the opening drive, which culminated in a touchdown after 7:30. That was the longest scoring drive the Jets surrendered all season, and stayed that way until the fourth quarter, when the Dolphins finished a drive that consumed 8:41 off the clock. As I already said about Miami, they look to be on the upswing, but I hope that this loss motivates the Jets in the upcoming weeks. I also would like to point out that Braylon Edwards looks AWESOME. I am so excited about the Sanchez-Edwards hook up that I may buy, and wear, both of their jerseys…at the same time.
8. Atlanta Falcons (3-1)
The loss to New England had to be upsetting, since the Falcons didn’t put up much of a fight, but they certainly came out of their bye week strongly. They DOMINATED the 49ers on the road, Michael Turner was running hard, and Roddy White came out of his coma. Those two, when combined with Matt Ryan and Tony Gonzalez, create a team with some of the most offensive firepower in the league. It is up to Atlanta to challenge New Orleans for the division title, since Tampa Bay and Carolina are no better than five win teams.
7. Cincinnati Bengals (4-1)
“Who dey! Who dey! Who dey think gonna beat dem Bengals? (Aside from the Denver Broncos) NOBODY!” This team is legit. Cedric Benson leads the NFL in rushing, and is running harder than he ever has in his career. Carson Palmer is getting back into his stride and knows how to win. Ochocinco is quieter than normal, which has coincided with his being more productive. Cincinnati may be able to compete with the big dogs, as they’ve already beaten Baltimore and Pittsburgh. Hopefully they keep it up and make the season interesting.
6. Denver Broncos (5-0)
Josh McDaniels has this team believing. He has Brandon Marshall playing extremely well, perhaps only bested by Andre Johnson so far this year in his domination. Kyle Orton is making plays and not beating the team with turnovers like he did in the preseason. The defense, which I thought would be abysmal coming into the season, has been superb. What else can I say? A win against San Diego this week will move them up the rankings and, in my opinion, clinch the division after just six weeks. About the only thing that this team has done wrong so far is wear the world’s most hideous uniforms last week against New England.
5. Philadelphia Eagles (3-1)
The only one-loss team that gets ranked above an undefeated. The Eagles look very good. Donovan McNabb is slinging it, and Jeremy Maclin and DeSean Jackson should give opposing corners headaches with their abilities to stretch the field. Those speedsters open up the field for Brent Celek, who has done plenty of damage thus far. Brian Westbrook now has a backup that may be more dangerous than him in LeSean McCoy, and the defense is playing in Jim Johnson’s memory. Philadelphia should challenge the Giants for the NFC East crown.
4. Minnesota Vikings (5-0)
They’re undeniably good. Defenses gear up to stop Adrian Peterson, so Brett Favre beats them through the air. The defense, while not as dominant as it has been in the past, is still solid once again. The question marks are still there, however. Can Brett Favre stay healthy and play at a high level the entire season? I can tell you as a disgruntled fan that Favre did no such thing last season. Playing indoors might help him when it gets colder, so only time will tell. Can the team keep Brad Childress from having to make key adjustments when it matters? The schedule has been light so far, but games against the Ravens, Steelers, Bengals, and Giants all lurk. Will Childress make the right calls or look confounded again on the sidelines? Finally, how will the rest of the NFC North play? 3-1 Chicago still gets two cracks at Minnesota, and Green Bay gets a revenge opportunity at Lambeau. If Minnesota can weather the storm that is the second half of their schedule, they could be dangerous come playoff time.
3. New Orleans Saints (4-0)
These top three are so close that I could re-order them any which way and be comfortable with how it turned out. I put the Saints here because Drew Brees has looked rather human the last two games. I know that he hasn’t had to do much because the running game has been brilliant, but it isn’t always easy to turn things on and off. The showdown with the Giants this weekend will reveal to us more what these teams are about.
2. New York Giants (5-0)
In my opinion, the Giants are only going to get better. The defense has been banged up, yet it continues to put up great showings. Eli Manning has been nothing short of spectaular, but the plantar fasciitis he suffers from could be problematic in the future. Steve Smith is quickly dropping “The Other” from the front of his name, as he’s been amazing through five games. Mario Manningham and Hakeem Nicks are also dominating, which is remarkable because all three are receivers the Giants themselves drafted. It’s difficult to pinpoint whether a wide receiver’s skills will translate to the professional level, yet the Giants have hit on all three. Like I said above, I am excited about this weekend’s game with the Saints. I still don’t know who I will pick in my Pigskin Pick’Em, and probably won’t until game time.
1. Indianapolis Colts (5-0)
New coach, same results. Indianapolis is 5-0, and already has a stranglehold on the division. Peyton Manning should be given the MVP Award right now. It honestly doesn’t matter what his defense does, because I have complete faith that he’ll lead the Colts’ offense down the field for however many points it needs. The Monday night game in Week 2 against Miami highlighted that. Despite having the ball for less than fifteen minutes, Manning was able to lead the Colts down the field when it mattered. The fact that Marvin Harrison is officially gone (his corpse was trotting out there last year) and Anthony Gonzalez got hurt Week 1 hasn’t hampered Manning at all. He just turned Austin Collie and Pierre Garcon into overnight superstars. I just cannot bring myself to bet against the Colts at all right now, and, until someone beats Peyton, won’t believe it to be possible.
Wednesday, September 23, 2009
Spread Picking Competition: Week 3
First of all, I'm going to get this out of my system for Sarah...J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets! The defense looked awesome again and I am excited to see how the season plays out. A few reactions from last week's picks: I have taken the lead over Sarah, whose picks can be found at her blog http://realwomenwatchfootball.blogspot.com, which might be the only time it happens all year long. The Titans, Redskins, and Packers were all severe disappointments for me, as I expected all to win their games handily, yet the former and latter lost, while the Redskins eked out a win over the hapless Rams. The theme of the week was riding the underdog, as the only favorites to cover were Minnesota, Atlanta, San Francisco, Buffalo, Denver, and Indianapolis, with an astonishing nine underdogs winning the game outright! Hmm, this competition gets tougher every single week. We know the teams better through two weeks, and know that some of them are desperate, so on to the picks, taken from here (my pick is bolded, as always):
Tennessee (+2.5) at New York Jets
I hate seeing these two teams play. It pits my favorite player (Chris Johnson) against my favorite team. Factor in that Chris Johnson leads my fantasy team into battle each week, and I want to see him have a big game. Yet, I'm rooting against the Titans so that the Jets can go to 3-0. Additionally, the Titans are one of those "desperate" teams, and an 0-3 hole could more or less end their season. The Jets are still riding high after an emotional (and it was emotional, ask Sarah) win over the Patriots, and I think they lose this one at home.
Jacksonville at Houston (-4)
The Cardinals were 0-5 last year in games played on the East Coast, losing by an average score of 40-20. Seeing as how the Jaguars hosted the Cardinals last week and essentially rolled over and died (a 31-17 loss, a game they trailed 31-3 at one point), I think they have given up already, which is fitting because their fan base gave up on them before the first home preseason game.
Kansas City (+9.5) at Philadelphia
I know, I know, Kansas City is very, very bad, and they're on the road. Crazy, right? Not necessarily, since Matt Cassel has had a week to play in the system, Philadelphia will almost assuredly be without Donovan McNabb again (Kevin Kolb hasn't looked great), and Kansas City, despite being 0-2, has been remarkably resilient and competitive.
Cleveland at Baltimore (-13.5)
The Ravens might be the AFC's best team. The Browns are still reeling after this. I'm 2-0 with the Ravens, so I'm sticking with them.
New York Giants (-6.5) at Tampa Bay
If I were to choose a lock of the week, this one would be it. The Giants are really, really good. The Buccaneers are just plain terrible, proving that by getting shellacked by the hapless Buffalo Bills. The Giants will get up by a lot early and coast to a 3-0 start.
Washington at Detroit (+6.5)
Which Washington team shows up? The one who played the Giants close in Week 1 or the one who nearly lost to the Rams in Week 2? I think the Lions have a legitimate shot to turn this guy back into his old self.
Green Bay (-6.5) at St. Louis
Well, either Green Bay is worse than we thought or the Bengals are better. More likely is a combination of both. Chad Ocho Cinco's celebration should light a fire under the Packers the way it did to the Green Bay fan who gave us all a very nice showing of his middle finger on national television. It doesn't hurt that they get to play the worst team in football either.
San Francisco (+7) at Minnesota
Yes, here I am picking against the great Adrian Peterson. I don't care what the numbers say, the 49ers are a pretty good football team. They are going to keep this game close and Peterson in check like they did back in 2007, when AP managed a whopping three yards on fourteen carries.
Atlanta (+4) at New England
Yeah, umm, the Patriots simply are not the same football team they have been in the past. Too man guys gone due to retirement, injury, trades, etc. The O-line is significantly worse than previous years, and Brady is understandably hesitant to put a ton of weight into his front leg when delivering a pass. Atlanta is also a surprisingly good team, and I think they're going to come into Foxborough/Gilette Stadium and win on Sunday.
Chicago (-2.5) at Seattle
With Matt Hasselbeck's health possibly keeping him out of this game, there is no way that Seattle wins, even if they have the home field advantage. Jay Cutler, as whiny as he may be, can lead a team to victories if need be. I think this will be a blowout win for the Bears.
New Orleans (-6) at Buffalo
The Bills beat the hapless Buccaneers last week, so I don't think any higher of them. New Orleans is one of the three best teams in the league right now. Remember what Tom Brady did to the Bills in the final five minutes on Monday night opening week? The Saints passing attack is better than the Patriots. Expect a LONG day for the Bills secondary.
Miami (+6) at San Diego
Miami could not have executed its game plan on Monday any better than it did. The only flaw was that Peyton Manning plays on the Colts. Philip Rivers is not Peyton Manning. He's not even close. I think the Dolphins come out fired up again and get their first W of the year.
Pittsburgh (-4) at Cincinnati
I toggled back and forth with this pick. Cincinnati is a decent football team. Pittsburgh can't run the ball, and Leon Hall is a phenomenal cover guy for the Bengals, so the Steelers passing attack versus the Bengals pass defense could be a key battle. The big problem for the Bengals, in my opinion, will be moving the ball on offense. Cedric Benson won't run as easily as he did in the first two weeks, so it'll be interesting to see how they get up and down the field.
Denver (-1.5) at Oakland
I recieved this letter from Josh McDaniels the other day:
"Dear Brian,
Your idiotic remark about us in Week 1 of this competition is now buletin board material in our locker room. Every day our players run on to the field thinking about proving you wrong. So far, the scoreboard is: Broncos 2-Brian 0. What do you have to say about that?
Go F Yourself,
Josh McDaniels"
Intriguing. I should probably point out that I was wrong twice, and you were right. I should also point out that one of your games was against the Browns, who are legitimately sucky, and I should have picked you. So here you go, Mr. McDaniels, I am aboard the Broncos train. Take me to the Promised Land, or trade me the F to Chicago where Jay Cutler and I can say mean things about you behind your back.
Indianapolis (+2.5) at Arizona
Peyton Manning is clutch, especially on national television. He's going to shred the Cardinals pass defense. Expect Dwight Freeney to hit Kurt Warner a few times and ring the old man's bell. Don't expect Kurt Warner to blame the Cardinals' loss on God though, since God gets credit for the Ws and no blame for the losses...sounds like a job I want.
Carolina (+9) at Dallas
For the second straight week, the Cowboys get to display their magnificent abode to the nation. For the second straight week, they're not going to cover. Carolina (and Jake Delhomme) looked astronomically better last week, while Tony Romo was less than spectacular. I just see a close game again.
So there you have it. I went 9-7 again last week, bringing my overall record to 18-14.
Last Week: Brian (9-7), Sarah (7-9)
Overall: Brian (18-14), Sarah (16-16)
Tennessee (+2.5) at New York Jets
I hate seeing these two teams play. It pits my favorite player (Chris Johnson) against my favorite team. Factor in that Chris Johnson leads my fantasy team into battle each week, and I want to see him have a big game. Yet, I'm rooting against the Titans so that the Jets can go to 3-0. Additionally, the Titans are one of those "desperate" teams, and an 0-3 hole could more or less end their season. The Jets are still riding high after an emotional (and it was emotional, ask Sarah) win over the Patriots, and I think they lose this one at home.
Jacksonville at Houston (-4)
The Cardinals were 0-5 last year in games played on the East Coast, losing by an average score of 40-20. Seeing as how the Jaguars hosted the Cardinals last week and essentially rolled over and died (a 31-17 loss, a game they trailed 31-3 at one point), I think they have given up already, which is fitting because their fan base gave up on them before the first home preseason game.
Kansas City (+9.5) at Philadelphia
I know, I know, Kansas City is very, very bad, and they're on the road. Crazy, right? Not necessarily, since Matt Cassel has had a week to play in the system, Philadelphia will almost assuredly be without Donovan McNabb again (Kevin Kolb hasn't looked great), and Kansas City, despite being 0-2, has been remarkably resilient and competitive.
Cleveland at Baltimore (-13.5)
The Ravens might be the AFC's best team. The Browns are still reeling after this. I'm 2-0 with the Ravens, so I'm sticking with them.
New York Giants (-6.5) at Tampa Bay
If I were to choose a lock of the week, this one would be it. The Giants are really, really good. The Buccaneers are just plain terrible, proving that by getting shellacked by the hapless Buffalo Bills. The Giants will get up by a lot early and coast to a 3-0 start.
Washington at Detroit (+6.5)
Which Washington team shows up? The one who played the Giants close in Week 1 or the one who nearly lost to the Rams in Week 2? I think the Lions have a legitimate shot to turn this guy back into his old self.
Green Bay (-6.5) at St. Louis
Well, either Green Bay is worse than we thought or the Bengals are better. More likely is a combination of both. Chad Ocho Cinco's celebration should light a fire under the Packers the way it did to the Green Bay fan who gave us all a very nice showing of his middle finger on national television. It doesn't hurt that they get to play the worst team in football either.
San Francisco (+7) at Minnesota
Yes, here I am picking against the great Adrian Peterson. I don't care what the numbers say, the 49ers are a pretty good football team. They are going to keep this game close and Peterson in check like they did back in 2007, when AP managed a whopping three yards on fourteen carries.
Atlanta (+4) at New England
Yeah, umm, the Patriots simply are not the same football team they have been in the past. Too man guys gone due to retirement, injury, trades, etc. The O-line is significantly worse than previous years, and Brady is understandably hesitant to put a ton of weight into his front leg when delivering a pass. Atlanta is also a surprisingly good team, and I think they're going to come into Foxborough/Gilette Stadium and win on Sunday.
Chicago (-2.5) at Seattle
With Matt Hasselbeck's health possibly keeping him out of this game, there is no way that Seattle wins, even if they have the home field advantage. Jay Cutler, as whiny as he may be, can lead a team to victories if need be. I think this will be a blowout win for the Bears.
New Orleans (-6) at Buffalo
The Bills beat the hapless Buccaneers last week, so I don't think any higher of them. New Orleans is one of the three best teams in the league right now. Remember what Tom Brady did to the Bills in the final five minutes on Monday night opening week? The Saints passing attack is better than the Patriots. Expect a LONG day for the Bills secondary.
Miami (+6) at San Diego
Miami could not have executed its game plan on Monday any better than it did. The only flaw was that Peyton Manning plays on the Colts. Philip Rivers is not Peyton Manning. He's not even close. I think the Dolphins come out fired up again and get their first W of the year.
Pittsburgh (-4) at Cincinnati
I toggled back and forth with this pick. Cincinnati is a decent football team. Pittsburgh can't run the ball, and Leon Hall is a phenomenal cover guy for the Bengals, so the Steelers passing attack versus the Bengals pass defense could be a key battle. The big problem for the Bengals, in my opinion, will be moving the ball on offense. Cedric Benson won't run as easily as he did in the first two weeks, so it'll be interesting to see how they get up and down the field.
Denver (-1.5) at Oakland
I recieved this letter from Josh McDaniels the other day:
"Dear Brian,
Your idiotic remark about us in Week 1 of this competition is now buletin board material in our locker room. Every day our players run on to the field thinking about proving you wrong. So far, the scoreboard is: Broncos 2-Brian 0. What do you have to say about that?
Go F Yourself,
Josh McDaniels"
Intriguing. I should probably point out that I was wrong twice, and you were right. I should also point out that one of your games was against the Browns, who are legitimately sucky, and I should have picked you. So here you go, Mr. McDaniels, I am aboard the Broncos train. Take me to the Promised Land, or trade me the F to Chicago where Jay Cutler and I can say mean things about you behind your back.
Indianapolis (+2.5) at Arizona
Peyton Manning is clutch, especially on national television. He's going to shred the Cardinals pass defense. Expect Dwight Freeney to hit Kurt Warner a few times and ring the old man's bell. Don't expect Kurt Warner to blame the Cardinals' loss on God though, since God gets credit for the Ws and no blame for the losses...sounds like a job I want.
Carolina (+9) at Dallas
For the second straight week, the Cowboys get to display their magnificent abode to the nation. For the second straight week, they're not going to cover. Carolina (and Jake Delhomme) looked astronomically better last week, while Tony Romo was less than spectacular. I just see a close game again.
So there you have it. I went 9-7 again last week, bringing my overall record to 18-14.
Last Week: Brian (9-7), Sarah (7-9)
Overall: Brian (18-14), Sarah (16-16)
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Spread Picking Competition: Week 2
Ahh, one week is in the books and we know a bit more about the teams. The Colts looked less impressive than I expected. The Jets looked better than I thought they would be. The Rams, Lions, Broncos, and Bengals were who we thought they were. Alas, I should be a little better prepared to make these picks. First of all, a recap from last week:
I went 9-7. I picked nine of the first eleven games I had listed correctly, before going absolutely cold. The afternoon and Sunday and Monday night games were NOT kind to me. Aside from getting the 49ers-Cardinals game correct, I missed the Giants (won by 6, spread was 6.5), I don't want to talk about the Rams, Aaron Rodgers beat me with a late TD pass, and the Chargers and Pats struggled to beat crappy opponents and neither came close to covering. If you read the first week, you know this is a competition between myself and my girlfriend Sarah, whose blog can be found here. She also went 9-7, although her picks were different from mine, which goes to show you, it doesn't matter how you pick them, you can't be very successful. Anyway, on to this week's picks, lines taken from here (my picks are in bold):
Oakland (+3) at Kansas City
If you didn't see what I had to say about the Chiefs after their dismal performance last week, either scroll down to the next entry or click here. They just aren't very good, and the Raiders actually showed some promise.
Houston at Tennessee (-6.5)
Tennessee won't be happy after losing a nail biter to Pittsburgh, especially when Rob Bironas missed two field goals in regulation. Houston's offense sputtered at home against the Jets, and I think the Titans' defensive unit is stronger, plus the Texans don't play well on the road.
New England at New York Jets (+3.5)
This one is strictly done because I am a Jets fan and Sarah is a Pats fan. Also, the Jets looked good enough to merit me picking them. Their defense was stout and the offense is very solid, which works when the Patriots defense is terrible.
New Update: Apparently the Patriots only serviceable middle linebacker, Jerrod Mayo, is out 6-8 weeks with an MCL sprain. No Bruschi, no Vrabel, no Seymour, and no Mayo. Since Eric Mangold is a man at center, he should be able to contain Vince Wolfork well enough for the Jets RBs to get to the second level, where last year's starters (aside from Adalius Thomas) are all gone. I'm liking this pick even more now.
Cincinnati at Green Bay (-9)
The Packers defense looked great, and the Bungles couldn't move the ball on the hapless Broncos. Plus Green Bay gets to play at Lambeau.
Minnesota (-9.5) at Detroit
Let me break it down for you. It's this versus this.
New Orleans (+1.5) at Philadelphia
Donovan McNabb is hurt and most likely not playing. Drew Brees is really, really good. Drew Brees is not Jake Delhomme, meaning that the Eagles defense will not put up a similar effort to the one they had on Sunday (which nearly cost me a fantasy matchup). The Saints play just enough defense to win.
Carolina at Atlanta (-6)
Jake Delhomme has 11 turnovers in his last two non-preseason games. Jake Delhomme plays for the Panthers. The Panthers play in Carolina.
St. Louis at Washington (-9.5)
Until the Rams can score I won't pick them, especially since it burned me last week.
Arizona (+3) at Jacksonville
I know I said Arizona sucks, but this is my random road team covering pick.
Seattle at San Francisco (-1.5)
The 49ers respond to Mike Singletary because the players fear playing with ten players and getting penalized all the way and he wants winners (his opinion on losers couldn't be found). Also, Seattle on the road means it has no home-field advantage. Seriously, that is some sagacious stuff from me right there. The home-field advantage is important to them, that's what I was getting at.
Tampa Bay (+4.5) at Buffalo
Buffalo finds a way to lose games. At least they don't have to play on Monday Night Football again.
Cleveland (+3) at Denver
Both teams are awful. I have a feeling Denver would be an underdog in this game if not for their miracle Week 1 win.
Baltimore (+3) at San Diego
The offense looked great and will run all over San Diego. Plus Tomlinson is already hurt.
Pittsburgh (-3) at Chicago
Both teams are missing a defensive stud (Hair Polamalu for the Steelers and Brian Urlacher for the Bears). The Steelers prevail in this honor du-el since they can make up for the loss of Polamalu and will bait Cutler into throwing a few more INTs.
New York Giants at Dallas (-3)
Dallas has beaten the Giants four of the past six times in Big D, and they do it again behind Tony Romo's right arm.
Indianapolis (-3) at Miami
Yes, Miami gets the home crowd on Monday Night. I just don't think they're a very good team. I went with Indy last week at home and lost, but I think Peyton Manning lights up the Dolphins secondary and leaves Miami in an 0-2 hole and two games behind the division leader after the Pats and Jets tangle.
Hopefully I have a better week this time around.
Last Week: 9-7
Overall: 9-7
I went 9-7. I picked nine of the first eleven games I had listed correctly, before going absolutely cold. The afternoon and Sunday and Monday night games were NOT kind to me. Aside from getting the 49ers-Cardinals game correct, I missed the Giants (won by 6, spread was 6.5), I don't want to talk about the Rams, Aaron Rodgers beat me with a late TD pass, and the Chargers and Pats struggled to beat crappy opponents and neither came close to covering. If you read the first week, you know this is a competition between myself and my girlfriend Sarah, whose blog can be found here. She also went 9-7, although her picks were different from mine, which goes to show you, it doesn't matter how you pick them, you can't be very successful. Anyway, on to this week's picks, lines taken from here (my picks are in bold):
Oakland (+3) at Kansas City
If you didn't see what I had to say about the Chiefs after their dismal performance last week, either scroll down to the next entry or click here. They just aren't very good, and the Raiders actually showed some promise.
Houston at Tennessee (-6.5)
Tennessee won't be happy after losing a nail biter to Pittsburgh, especially when Rob Bironas missed two field goals in regulation. Houston's offense sputtered at home against the Jets, and I think the Titans' defensive unit is stronger, plus the Texans don't play well on the road.
New England at New York Jets (+3.5)
This one is strictly done because I am a Jets fan and Sarah is a Pats fan. Also, the Jets looked good enough to merit me picking them. Their defense was stout and the offense is very solid, which works when the Patriots defense is terrible.
New Update: Apparently the Patriots only serviceable middle linebacker, Jerrod Mayo, is out 6-8 weeks with an MCL sprain. No Bruschi, no Vrabel, no Seymour, and no Mayo. Since Eric Mangold is a man at center, he should be able to contain Vince Wolfork well enough for the Jets RBs to get to the second level, where last year's starters (aside from Adalius Thomas) are all gone. I'm liking this pick even more now.
Cincinnati at Green Bay (-9)
The Packers defense looked great, and the Bungles couldn't move the ball on the hapless Broncos. Plus Green Bay gets to play at Lambeau.
Minnesota (-9.5) at Detroit
Let me break it down for you. It's this versus this.
New Orleans (+1.5) at Philadelphia
Donovan McNabb is hurt and most likely not playing. Drew Brees is really, really good. Drew Brees is not Jake Delhomme, meaning that the Eagles defense will not put up a similar effort to the one they had on Sunday (which nearly cost me a fantasy matchup). The Saints play just enough defense to win.
Carolina at Atlanta (-6)
Jake Delhomme has 11 turnovers in his last two non-preseason games. Jake Delhomme plays for the Panthers. The Panthers play in Carolina.
St. Louis at Washington (-9.5)
Until the Rams can score I won't pick them, especially since it burned me last week.
Arizona (+3) at Jacksonville
I know I said Arizona sucks, but this is my random road team covering pick.
Seattle at San Francisco (-1.5)
The 49ers respond to Mike Singletary because the players fear playing with ten players and getting penalized all the way and he wants winners (his opinion on losers couldn't be found). Also, Seattle on the road means it has no home-field advantage. Seriously, that is some sagacious stuff from me right there. The home-field advantage is important to them, that's what I was getting at.
Tampa Bay (+4.5) at Buffalo
Buffalo finds a way to lose games. At least they don't have to play on Monday Night Football again.
Cleveland (+3) at Denver
Both teams are awful. I have a feeling Denver would be an underdog in this game if not for their miracle Week 1 win.
Baltimore (+3) at San Diego
The offense looked great and will run all over San Diego. Plus Tomlinson is already hurt.
Pittsburgh (-3) at Chicago
Both teams are missing a defensive stud (Hair Polamalu for the Steelers and Brian Urlacher for the Bears). The Steelers prevail in this honor du-el since they can make up for the loss of Polamalu and will bait Cutler into throwing a few more INTs.
New York Giants at Dallas (-3)
Dallas has beaten the Giants four of the past six times in Big D, and they do it again behind Tony Romo's right arm.
Indianapolis (-3) at Miami
Yes, Miami gets the home crowd on Monday Night. I just don't think they're a very good team. I went with Indy last week at home and lost, but I think Peyton Manning lights up the Dolphins secondary and leaves Miami in an 0-2 hole and two games behind the division leader after the Pats and Jets tangle.
Hopefully I have a better week this time around.
Last Week: 9-7
Overall: 9-7
NFL Week 1 in the Books
Ahh, the NFL hath arriveth and I couldn't be happier. To kick things off, my Jets looked PHENOMENAL. Not only did they silence everyone's darling pick in Houston, but they shut down that seemingly unstoppable offense in Houston, where the Texans are supposed to be good. Rex Ryan has worked wonders with that defense, even without starters Shaun Ellis and Calvin Pace in the lineup. Oh yeah, and there was a good-looking guy from USC who announced himself to the NFL. His stat line won't jump off the screen at you [18/31, 272 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT (that's 12 fantasy points in a standard scoring league)], but what blew me away was his poise and pocket presence. He seemed to be able to sense the rush at all times and avoid it without actually seeing it, which led to the following exchange between myself and my college roommate Curly, a fellow Jets fan:
Me: I'm totally gay for Mark Sanchez...no homo.
Curly: Yeah, me too. He has some sexy hands and a delicious right arm.
Me: It's the way he moves his feet that makes me go from six to midnight, though.
The moral of the story: Mark Sanchez is going to be a stud in the NFL and already has Jets fans salivating.
OK, enough about how happy I am for this Jets season and the way it could turn out. On to other reactions:
Don't let the crazy ending to the Denver-Cincinnati game fool you...both teams are brutal, really, really brutal.
Despite having 31 first downs, 501 yards of total offense, and possessing the ball for just under 40 minutes, it took Baltimore until the 58-minute mark to take the lead for good against the Chiefs, whose comparative stats were: 9 first downs and 188 yards of total offense (with a paltry 29 yards on the ground). I can hear Kansas City fans praying for Matt Cassell's return to get the defeated Brodie Croyle (literally defeated, as in he's 0-9 as a starter in the NFL) off the field. It's going to be a long season in KC.
The Patriots and Chargers played awfully. Both should have lost the games they played, but were saved by the fact that they played teams that suck worse on a good day than either of those teams does on a bad day. I've always said that "good teams find ways to win games, but bad teams find ways to lose them." On Monday night, the latter was in full effect. Buffalo may not win more than 4 games all season and TO will struggle and whine in the cold weather...I'm excited. Also, as long as Al Davis is owning and operating the team in Oakland, I'm excited.
Calvin Johnson is awesome. But the Lions' defense is better at being bad than Johnson is at being good. Detroit is headed for another last place finish in the NFC North.
The NFC West may be more miserable this year than it was last year. The Cardinals have proved that they do, in fact, suck. Their run to the Super Bowl was a product of the offense firing (not clicking, since that's not what a cylinder does) on all cylinders and the defense making enough stops to win. Oh, they also got to play against Jake Delhomme in the playoffs. They'll go 6-10 this year and Seattle or San Francisco will win the division at 8-8 and get crushed in the playoffs. Also the Rams will finish with the league's worst record.
I have some more reactions, but will end now so I can get to making my spread picks.
Me: I'm totally gay for Mark Sanchez...no homo.
Curly: Yeah, me too. He has some sexy hands and a delicious right arm.
Me: It's the way he moves his feet that makes me go from six to midnight, though.
The moral of the story: Mark Sanchez is going to be a stud in the NFL and already has Jets fans salivating.
OK, enough about how happy I am for this Jets season and the way it could turn out. On to other reactions:
Don't let the crazy ending to the Denver-Cincinnati game fool you...both teams are brutal, really, really brutal.
Despite having 31 first downs, 501 yards of total offense, and possessing the ball for just under 40 minutes, it took Baltimore until the 58-minute mark to take the lead for good against the Chiefs, whose comparative stats were: 9 first downs and 188 yards of total offense (with a paltry 29 yards on the ground). I can hear Kansas City fans praying for Matt Cassell's return to get the defeated Brodie Croyle (literally defeated, as in he's 0-9 as a starter in the NFL) off the field. It's going to be a long season in KC.
The Patriots and Chargers played awfully. Both should have lost the games they played, but were saved by the fact that they played teams that suck worse on a good day than either of those teams does on a bad day. I've always said that "good teams find ways to win games, but bad teams find ways to lose them." On Monday night, the latter was in full effect. Buffalo may not win more than 4 games all season and TO will struggle and whine in the cold weather...I'm excited. Also, as long as Al Davis is owning and operating the team in Oakland, I'm excited.
Calvin Johnson is awesome. But the Lions' defense is better at being bad than Johnson is at being good. Detroit is headed for another last place finish in the NFC North.
The NFC West may be more miserable this year than it was last year. The Cardinals have proved that they do, in fact, suck. Their run to the Super Bowl was a product of the offense firing (not clicking, since that's not what a cylinder does) on all cylinders and the defense making enough stops to win. Oh, they also got to play against Jake Delhomme in the playoffs. They'll go 6-10 this year and Seattle or San Francisco will win the division at 8-8 and get crushed in the playoffs. Also the Rams will finish with the league's worst record.
I have some more reactions, but will end now so I can get to making my spread picks.
Saturday, September 12, 2009
Poor Ending
This blog was going to be devoted to how Serena Williams had transitioned to my second least favorite persona in women's tennis because Pam Shriver's antics at the US Open have just disgusted me, but now I am going to write about what just transpired that has Kim Clijsters one win away from a miraculous run to a US Open title after taking two years off to start a family.
I missed the first set and a half, picking it up where Kim Clijsters had a 6-4, 4-3 lead with Serena serving. Both held serve until it was 6-5 Clijsters (kudos to Serena for holding her serve at 4-5 to prolong the match). Three points were played in the twelfth game of the set, with Clijsters getting to 15-30 and just two points from the match. That's when all hell broke loose.
Serena's first serve missed, and then her second serve began one of the most controversial endings to a sporting event I have ever seen. She was called for a foot fault. Video replay does not confirm that there was a foot fault, which sent the announcers in an uproar, but a very minor outburst to what Serena displayed. She went completely off the deep end, going on a swearing tirade that was clearly directed at the official who made the call on her. Doing what is required of her as a referee, Serena's victim then reported what was said to her to the chair umpire, which sent Serena into another craze. When the tournament director came out, Serena's two incidents, combined with her previous warning for smashing her racquet, resulted in her incurring a penalty, which is the loss of the next point. Considering that the double fault put the score at 15-40 (double match point for Clijsters), the match was over, with Clijsters advancing and Serena going home. A few reactions I have to this:
First, the lineswoman was correct in her actions once Serena started swearing at her. She is supposed to report any behavior like that to the chairperson. The penalty handed down was deserved. The real question lies in whether or not the foot fault should have been called in the first place. I know that rules are rules and that they should apply to the game the same from start to finish, but that's not the case. I personally like to see the referees get less and less involved in the latter stages and let the players duke thinks out. Of course I don't want players to be allowed to get away with murder, but I hate seeing games decided by nit-picking refs (please NHL, stop calling penalties at such an alarming rate in your playoff OT games). Especially since it wasn't blatant, the foot fault shouldn't be called there.
Second, I feel AWFUL for Clijsters. Serena came across to Clijsters' side of the court to shake her hand, and you could see the anguish in her face. I can't read lips, but it almost seems like she was saying, "I'm sorry, that's not the way I wanted it to end." She played a great match and was supposedly the better ball striker this evening, but her great play and victory will be undermined by the way it came to fruition. I wish her best of luck in the finals against Caroline Wozniacki, since it'd be an amazing story.
I'm sure I will update the blog once videos and more information is available, but I wanted to share my initial thoughts immediately after it happened.
I missed the first set and a half, picking it up where Kim Clijsters had a 6-4, 4-3 lead with Serena serving. Both held serve until it was 6-5 Clijsters (kudos to Serena for holding her serve at 4-5 to prolong the match). Three points were played in the twelfth game of the set, with Clijsters getting to 15-30 and just two points from the match. That's when all hell broke loose.
Serena's first serve missed, and then her second serve began one of the most controversial endings to a sporting event I have ever seen. She was called for a foot fault. Video replay does not confirm that there was a foot fault, which sent the announcers in an uproar, but a very minor outburst to what Serena displayed. She went completely off the deep end, going on a swearing tirade that was clearly directed at the official who made the call on her. Doing what is required of her as a referee, Serena's victim then reported what was said to her to the chair umpire, which sent Serena into another craze. When the tournament director came out, Serena's two incidents, combined with her previous warning for smashing her racquet, resulted in her incurring a penalty, which is the loss of the next point. Considering that the double fault put the score at 15-40 (double match point for Clijsters), the match was over, with Clijsters advancing and Serena going home. A few reactions I have to this:
First, the lineswoman was correct in her actions once Serena started swearing at her. She is supposed to report any behavior like that to the chairperson. The penalty handed down was deserved. The real question lies in whether or not the foot fault should have been called in the first place. I know that rules are rules and that they should apply to the game the same from start to finish, but that's not the case. I personally like to see the referees get less and less involved in the latter stages and let the players duke thinks out. Of course I don't want players to be allowed to get away with murder, but I hate seeing games decided by nit-picking refs (please NHL, stop calling penalties at such an alarming rate in your playoff OT games). Especially since it wasn't blatant, the foot fault shouldn't be called there.
Second, I feel AWFUL for Clijsters. Serena came across to Clijsters' side of the court to shake her hand, and you could see the anguish in her face. I can't read lips, but it almost seems like she was saying, "I'm sorry, that's not the way I wanted it to end." She played a great match and was supposedly the better ball striker this evening, but her great play and victory will be undermined by the way it came to fruition. I wish her best of luck in the finals against Caroline Wozniacki, since it'd be an amazing story.
I'm sure I will update the blog once videos and more information is available, but I wanted to share my initial thoughts immediately after it happened.
Wait...Am I Allowed to Say This? A Red Sox Fan Giving some Love to the Yankees?
As a Red Sox fan, it is my duty to personally root against the Yankees at any and all ventures, as well as hate the entire roster. In the past, under Joe Torre when the team seemed to be a bunch of stoic, superstar individuals that were not allowed to grow facial hair that happened to be on the same team, that was an easy task. Guys like Paul O'Neill, Randy Johnson, Jason Giambi Chuck Knoblauch, and the likes made it terribly difficult to rationalize enjoying them as teammates and human beings. However, when I look at this year's team, I have trouble despising the individual players (I, of course, still hate the team). Let's take a look:
The one player who is universally despised in baseball is Alex Rodriguez (the torch was passed to him by either Clemens or Barry Bonds, take your pick). His own mother hates him, so it's OK that I do too. Aside from making Red Sox fans believe he'd be hitting balls over the Green Monster for many years to come not that long ago, his personal life off the field is bothersome, and the whole steroids and HGH thing only further villified him.
The other guy I really hate is Johnny Damon. However, that's pretty explicable, given that he jumped ship from a team who he had just won a World Series title with (the franchise's first in 86 years, nonetheless), where he was also one of the leaders of the self-proclaimed "idiots" on the Red Sox (oh yeah, he's got a book about it too), to the Evil Empire, which also happens to be the Red Sox greatest rival. Seeing him try to throw out runners with his glass arm from left field and struggle out there in general has brought great pleasure to me. The fact that Yankee Stadium is ideal for his swing and he's hit so many homeruns to the second deck that it's often dubbed "Damon's Deck," has not.
The rest of the team, however, has proven to be shockingly fun. They still have four Yankee staples in Jeter, Pettite, Posada, and Rivera, as well as a whole group of new guys. I've always respected Jeter because I think he does everything the right way, and am somewhat happy that if anyone were to have gone on to break past Yankee greats' records, it's him. He plays the game the right way and doesn't let anything he does off the field become public or a distraction. Given his dating record (found here in Rick Reilly's article, scroll down to the 3rd one titled, "People Much Better than Me"), that's no small feat.
Pettite has always, at least to me, been dependable and a team-oriented guy. He always sits in the dugout on his off-days, which, to me, conveys the message, "Hey guys, you're there for me every fifth day when I go out and start, so I'll be here for you the other four." I like that in a guy, since it shows that, to him, it's not just about solely about the paycheck, but about winning and having a good relationship with his teammates. Roger Clemens, in his later contracts, was not even required to travel on road trips where he wasn't scheduled to pitch. Hmm, seems like a really likable guy, huh?
Posada is just a silent, steady producer, who has done some hilarious ESPN commercials. I love that the Yankee fans say, "Hip, hip, Jorge!" every time he steps up to the plate. The fact that his knees have held up and he still does what he does with a bat in his hands amazes me.
Lastly, Rivera, while not the owner of an incedible personality and charm, just goes out there year after year and does what he does best, which is save games. It looked like he was cooked a year or so ago, but now he's back and scary again (plus it doesn't hurt that he routinely blows saves against the Red Sox).
Now, several of the new guys are hilarious too. Rumors out of the Yankees spring training were that Nick Swisher is one of the funniest guys in the league and made the clubhouse as a whole more relaxed. Every team needs a guy like this. Teams need to stay loose, because, at the end of the day, they're still playing the game they grew up playing because they enjoyed it, not because they were being paid.
I am still of the opinion that C.C. Sabathia only signed with the Yankees to appease the player's union so that other free agents in the off-season had a higher benchmark with which to work. That being said, he's sort of like the lovable fat guy that every group of friends have, only he's really, really good at baseball too. He bought a ton of the Yankees players tickets to an NBA playoff game (think it was a Cavaliers' game, but I can't remember), which lets you know he's another team-oriented guy.
The last guy that seems absolutely hilarious is AJ Burnett. While he seems angry on the mound, he's another guy who is in the dugout every day cheering on his team. Not to mention that he seems to have exclusive rights to shaving cream pie-ing team members who get walk-off hits since he himself can't get one. Those can be seen, here, here, here, here, here, here, and here.
Granted a few of those are on A-Rod (who doesn't always look so pleased, unlike the rest of the guys), and I hate that A-Rod has gotten any walk-off hits, but the fact remains that Burnett has brought some pizzazz to the team (my personal favorite was #5 where he involved Joba as well).
Although I don't find him terribly funny, another guy I respect (and who I feared the most of all the free agent signings the Yankees made as soon as they signed him) is Mark Teixeira. To me he seems like the kind of player who plays his heart out every single day because he doesn't have the skill set to allow him to be lackadaisical, only he actually does have that skill set to complement the work ethic. I think the play that best defined his desire was when he scored from first when Luis Castillo dropped the pop-up during interleague play. How many guys run hard on that play and score? Maybe five or six in the entire league?
Anyway, now that I have written about how I respect and enjoy the new-look Yankees, I am going to inform you that I still wish an early playoff exit upon the team. I hope the Red Sox win the Wild Card (and beat the Angels, who they should just get a bye past anyway), the Yankees struggle past the pathetic AL Central winner, and the Red Sox just dominate the Yankees in the ALCS. I'm talking a sweep and outscoring them along the lines of 42-5 over the four games. I will still root against the Yankees with every fiber of my being, don't get me wrong and call me a traitor. It's just that the new-look Yankees are a more likable bunch than their predecessors.
The one player who is universally despised in baseball is Alex Rodriguez (the torch was passed to him by either Clemens or Barry Bonds, take your pick). His own mother hates him, so it's OK that I do too. Aside from making Red Sox fans believe he'd be hitting balls over the Green Monster for many years to come not that long ago, his personal life off the field is bothersome, and the whole steroids and HGH thing only further villified him.
The other guy I really hate is Johnny Damon. However, that's pretty explicable, given that he jumped ship from a team who he had just won a World Series title with (the franchise's first in 86 years, nonetheless), where he was also one of the leaders of the self-proclaimed "idiots" on the Red Sox (oh yeah, he's got a book about it too), to the Evil Empire, which also happens to be the Red Sox greatest rival. Seeing him try to throw out runners with his glass arm from left field and struggle out there in general has brought great pleasure to me. The fact that Yankee Stadium is ideal for his swing and he's hit so many homeruns to the second deck that it's often dubbed "Damon's Deck," has not.
The rest of the team, however, has proven to be shockingly fun. They still have four Yankee staples in Jeter, Pettite, Posada, and Rivera, as well as a whole group of new guys. I've always respected Jeter because I think he does everything the right way, and am somewhat happy that if anyone were to have gone on to break past Yankee greats' records, it's him. He plays the game the right way and doesn't let anything he does off the field become public or a distraction. Given his dating record (found here in Rick Reilly's article, scroll down to the 3rd one titled, "People Much Better than Me"), that's no small feat.
Pettite has always, at least to me, been dependable and a team-oriented guy. He always sits in the dugout on his off-days, which, to me, conveys the message, "Hey guys, you're there for me every fifth day when I go out and start, so I'll be here for you the other four." I like that in a guy, since it shows that, to him, it's not just about solely about the paycheck, but about winning and having a good relationship with his teammates. Roger Clemens, in his later contracts, was not even required to travel on road trips where he wasn't scheduled to pitch. Hmm, seems like a really likable guy, huh?
Posada is just a silent, steady producer, who has done some hilarious ESPN commercials. I love that the Yankee fans say, "Hip, hip, Jorge!" every time he steps up to the plate. The fact that his knees have held up and he still does what he does with a bat in his hands amazes me.
Lastly, Rivera, while not the owner of an incedible personality and charm, just goes out there year after year and does what he does best, which is save games. It looked like he was cooked a year or so ago, but now he's back and scary again (plus it doesn't hurt that he routinely blows saves against the Red Sox).
Now, several of the new guys are hilarious too. Rumors out of the Yankees spring training were that Nick Swisher is one of the funniest guys in the league and made the clubhouse as a whole more relaxed. Every team needs a guy like this. Teams need to stay loose, because, at the end of the day, they're still playing the game they grew up playing because they enjoyed it, not because they were being paid.
I am still of the opinion that C.C. Sabathia only signed with the Yankees to appease the player's union so that other free agents in the off-season had a higher benchmark with which to work. That being said, he's sort of like the lovable fat guy that every group of friends have, only he's really, really good at baseball too. He bought a ton of the Yankees players tickets to an NBA playoff game (think it was a Cavaliers' game, but I can't remember), which lets you know he's another team-oriented guy.
The last guy that seems absolutely hilarious is AJ Burnett. While he seems angry on the mound, he's another guy who is in the dugout every day cheering on his team. Not to mention that he seems to have exclusive rights to shaving cream pie-ing team members who get walk-off hits since he himself can't get one. Those can be seen, here, here, here, here, here, here, and here.
Granted a few of those are on A-Rod (who doesn't always look so pleased, unlike the rest of the guys), and I hate that A-Rod has gotten any walk-off hits, but the fact remains that Burnett has brought some pizzazz to the team (my personal favorite was #5 where he involved Joba as well).
Although I don't find him terribly funny, another guy I respect (and who I feared the most of all the free agent signings the Yankees made as soon as they signed him) is Mark Teixeira. To me he seems like the kind of player who plays his heart out every single day because he doesn't have the skill set to allow him to be lackadaisical, only he actually does have that skill set to complement the work ethic. I think the play that best defined his desire was when he scored from first when Luis Castillo dropped the pop-up during interleague play. How many guys run hard on that play and score? Maybe five or six in the entire league?
Anyway, now that I have written about how I respect and enjoy the new-look Yankees, I am going to inform you that I still wish an early playoff exit upon the team. I hope the Red Sox win the Wild Card (and beat the Angels, who they should just get a bye past anyway), the Yankees struggle past the pathetic AL Central winner, and the Red Sox just dominate the Yankees in the ALCS. I'm talking a sweep and outscoring them along the lines of 42-5 over the four games. I will still root against the Yankees with every fiber of my being, don't get me wrong and call me a traitor. It's just that the new-look Yankees are a more likable bunch than their predecessors.
Monday, September 7, 2009
Spread Picking Competition: Week 1
This will be a year long competition between myself and my girlfriend, Sarah, whose blog can be found here: http://realwomenwatchfootball.blogspot.com/. Is this an idea borrowed from Bill Simmons and his wife's little competition? Yes. Is it different? Yes, it is. How so, you may ask? My girlfriend loves football and watches it religiously, while Bill Simmons' wife doesn't know the difference between a safety that awards two points and the two safeties that line up in the defensive backfield on every play. Starting next week, I shall give you all a running count of a who is in the lead in our competition. Without further ado, here we go (spreads are taken from http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_point_spreads.shtml); my pick is bolded:
Tennessee (+6) at Pittsburgh
This should be a typical Steelers game. Ugly, low-scoring, and defensive minded. It also should have been the AFC Championship game last season, if not for a Chris Johnson injury and Alge Crumpler fumbles against Baltimore. I could see either team pulling this one out, but think Pittsburgh has just enough, winning 17-14, but still allowing Tennessee to cover.
Miami at Atlanta (-4)
These are two playoff teams from last year who I don't see returning to promised land this year. I think Miami didn't get much better, and cannot stay as healthy as they did last year while Atlanta just has too much firepower for them at home.
Kansas City at Baltimore (-13)
I just don't think Kansas City is quite there yet, plus I don't think Cassell with be playing. The combination of a relatively inexperienced quarterback (probably Brodie Croyle) against a vicious Baltimore D, at home, means this one could get ugly.
Philadelphia (-1) at Carolina
While I hate Michael Vick, I also think that Philadelphia is that good, while the NFC South as a whole is mediocre. Just about any Philly win covers this one, so I think they're a safe pick.
Denver at Cincinnati (-4.5)
Is it unreasonable to think that I may never pick Denver to cover this entire season? The team has been in disarray since Josh McDaniels took over, and their shifting from a 4-3 to a 3-4 and not having the personnel to pull it off means things could get uglier this season than they currently are.
Minnesota (-4) at Cleveland
Since so many NFL players use Twitter nowadays, I'd think that if Eric Mangini told his players who would be the starting QB, we'd have found out. That leads me to believe that the team doesn't know, which means that they probably won't fare very well in Week 1, even if the Williamses aren't allowed to play.
New York Jets (+4.5) at Houston
OK, this is a bit of a homer pick on my part. I know Houston plays well at home and the Jets are starting a rookie QB, but Rex Ryan has revamped this defensive unit. Additionally, the Jets are going to run, run, and run some more, and Houston's defensive tackles aren't exactly world beaters.
Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-7.5)
I just can't pick against Peyton Manning at home, especially when Maurice Jones-Drew is nursing a tender ankle right now and Jacksonville's offense revolves around him.
Detroit at New Orleans (-13)
That's a ton of points to give, but Detroit was terrible on defense last year, and didn't do much to address it in the draft, as it used both of its first rounders on offensive players. While New Orleans doesn't have a great defense either, Matthew Stafford, the Lions' newly appointed starter, hasn't blown me away in the pre-season. Couple that with the fact that the Superdome gets loud, and we could have another blowout.
Dallas (-6) at Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is rebuilding, Dallas just got rid of its biggest headache, Terrell Owens. I like the offense to explode in Big D this year, starting with a romping of a 4-12 bound Buccaneers team.
San Francisco (+6.5) at Arizona
This is a matchup that San Francisco should have won on Monday Night Football last year. Mike Singletary, despite being a bit quirky, can motivate his group of players. I don't think Arizona can do what it did last season, and that harsh reality kicks in during Week 1.
Washington at New York Giants (-6.5)
Until the Redskins figure out how to utilize Jason Campbell's strong arm (Santana Moss has become somewhat useless in this offense, but should mesh well with Campbell), I don't trust them to put up big points. Couple that with a stout Giants defense, and the Giants win by 10.
St. Louis (+8.5) at Seattle
Seattle was maybe the unluckiest team in the NFL last year in terms of injuries. While they will probably win this division this year, I like a healthy Steven Jackson (is that an oxymoron?) and an upgraded O-line to help St. Louis keep this one under the spread.
Chicago (+3.5) at Green Bay
I just like the Bears this year. I don't know why. I like them to surprise Green Bay on Sunday night in Lambeau.
Buffalo at New England (-10.5)
Let's see...one of these starting offenses managed only three points during the preseason. The other is just one year removed from being the highest scoring offense in NFL history. Oh yeah, the team that can put up the points is at home. This one's easy.
San Diego (-9.5) at Oakland
San Diego is a popular pick to win the Super Bowl this year. It doesn't matter that Oakland is at home. Al Davis is still the owner, and they're still not very good.
So there you have it...Week 1's matchups all picked. I ended up going with 5 underdogs to cover, and a majority of road teams (nine, versus seven home teams) to cover. I also went with two road underdogs to cover, so we shall see how it all turns out.
Note: This spreads were taken earlier in the week and some have changed since then, so the link provided will have some different spreads than what I used here.
Tennessee (+6) at Pittsburgh
This should be a typical Steelers game. Ugly, low-scoring, and defensive minded. It also should have been the AFC Championship game last season, if not for a Chris Johnson injury and Alge Crumpler fumbles against Baltimore. I could see either team pulling this one out, but think Pittsburgh has just enough, winning 17-14, but still allowing Tennessee to cover.
Miami at Atlanta (-4)
These are two playoff teams from last year who I don't see returning to promised land this year. I think Miami didn't get much better, and cannot stay as healthy as they did last year while Atlanta just has too much firepower for them at home.
Kansas City at Baltimore (-13)
I just don't think Kansas City is quite there yet, plus I don't think Cassell with be playing. The combination of a relatively inexperienced quarterback (probably Brodie Croyle) against a vicious Baltimore D, at home, means this one could get ugly.
Philadelphia (-1) at Carolina
While I hate Michael Vick, I also think that Philadelphia is that good, while the NFC South as a whole is mediocre. Just about any Philly win covers this one, so I think they're a safe pick.
Denver at Cincinnati (-4.5)
Is it unreasonable to think that I may never pick Denver to cover this entire season? The team has been in disarray since Josh McDaniels took over, and their shifting from a 4-3 to a 3-4 and not having the personnel to pull it off means things could get uglier this season than they currently are.
Minnesota (-4) at Cleveland
Since so many NFL players use Twitter nowadays, I'd think that if Eric Mangini told his players who would be the starting QB, we'd have found out. That leads me to believe that the team doesn't know, which means that they probably won't fare very well in Week 1, even if the Williamses aren't allowed to play.
New York Jets (+4.5) at Houston
OK, this is a bit of a homer pick on my part. I know Houston plays well at home and the Jets are starting a rookie QB, but Rex Ryan has revamped this defensive unit. Additionally, the Jets are going to run, run, and run some more, and Houston's defensive tackles aren't exactly world beaters.
Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-7.5)
I just can't pick against Peyton Manning at home, especially when Maurice Jones-Drew is nursing a tender ankle right now and Jacksonville's offense revolves around him.
Detroit at New Orleans (-13)
That's a ton of points to give, but Detroit was terrible on defense last year, and didn't do much to address it in the draft, as it used both of its first rounders on offensive players. While New Orleans doesn't have a great defense either, Matthew Stafford, the Lions' newly appointed starter, hasn't blown me away in the pre-season. Couple that with the fact that the Superdome gets loud, and we could have another blowout.
Dallas (-6) at Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is rebuilding, Dallas just got rid of its biggest headache, Terrell Owens. I like the offense to explode in Big D this year, starting with a romping of a 4-12 bound Buccaneers team.
San Francisco (+6.5) at Arizona
This is a matchup that San Francisco should have won on Monday Night Football last year. Mike Singletary, despite being a bit quirky, can motivate his group of players. I don't think Arizona can do what it did last season, and that harsh reality kicks in during Week 1.
Washington at New York Giants (-6.5)
Until the Redskins figure out how to utilize Jason Campbell's strong arm (Santana Moss has become somewhat useless in this offense, but should mesh well with Campbell), I don't trust them to put up big points. Couple that with a stout Giants defense, and the Giants win by 10.
St. Louis (+8.5) at Seattle
Seattle was maybe the unluckiest team in the NFL last year in terms of injuries. While they will probably win this division this year, I like a healthy Steven Jackson (is that an oxymoron?) and an upgraded O-line to help St. Louis keep this one under the spread.
Chicago (+3.5) at Green Bay
I just like the Bears this year. I don't know why. I like them to surprise Green Bay on Sunday night in Lambeau.
Buffalo at New England (-10.5)
Let's see...one of these starting offenses managed only three points during the preseason. The other is just one year removed from being the highest scoring offense in NFL history. Oh yeah, the team that can put up the points is at home. This one's easy.
San Diego (-9.5) at Oakland
San Diego is a popular pick to win the Super Bowl this year. It doesn't matter that Oakland is at home. Al Davis is still the owner, and they're still not very good.
So there you have it...Week 1's matchups all picked. I ended up going with 5 underdogs to cover, and a majority of road teams (nine, versus seven home teams) to cover. I also went with two road underdogs to cover, so we shall see how it all turns out.
Note: This spreads were taken earlier in the week and some have changed since then, so the link provided will have some different spreads than what I used here.
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